US diplomatic efforts under President Trump have revived momentum for trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US talks, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner holding substantive meetings in Moscow and Kyiv in early September 2026. Both sides have signaled readiness for a new round possibly in October following Russia's September parliamentary elections, building on earlier 2026 sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva that yielded only a prisoner exchange. Core barriers persist, including Russia's demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donetsk and security concessions, which Kyiv rejects in favor of sovereignty protections and guarantees. Ongoing battlefield activity, Russian preparations for winter energy strikes, and Ukrainian openness to mutual infrastructure de-escalation continue to shape prospects, while a Zelensky-Trump meeting at the UN General Assembly adds near-term diplomatic focus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$777,891 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
3%
October 15
24%
October 31
43%
November 30
56%
December 31
70%
$777,891 Vol.
September 30
$371,929 Vol.
3%
October 15
$35,557 Vol.
24%
October 31
$42,461 Vol.
43%
November 30
$20,157 Vol.
56%
December 31
$289,075 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US diplomatic efforts under President Trump have revived momentum for trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US talks, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner holding substantive meetings in Moscow and Kyiv in early September 2026. Both sides have signaled readiness for a new round possibly in October following Russia's September parliamentary elections, building on earlier 2026 sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva that yielded only a prisoner exchange. Core barriers persist, including Russia's demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donetsk and security concessions, which Kyiv rejects in favor of sovereignty protections and guarantees. Ongoing battlefield activity, Russian preparations for winter energy strikes, and Ukrainian openness to mutual infrastructure de-escalation continue to shape prospects, while a Zelensky-Trump meeting at the UN General Assembly adds near-term diplomatic focus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Volume
$777,891End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US diplomatic efforts under President Trump have revived momentum for trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US talks, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner holding substantive meetings in Moscow and Kyiv in early September 2026. Both sides have signaled readiness for a new round possibly in October following Russia's September parliamentary elections, building on earlier 2026 sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva that yielded only a prisoner exchange. Core barriers persist, including Russia's demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donetsk and security concessions, which Kyiv rejects in favor of sovereignty protections and guarantees. Ongoing battlefield activity, Russian preparations for winter energy strikes, and Ukrainian openness to mutual infrastructure de-escalation continue to shape prospects, while a Zelensky-Trump meeting at the UN General Assembly adds near-term diplomatic focus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$777,891End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US diplomatic efforts under President Trump have revived momentum for trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US talks, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner holding substantive meetings in Moscow and Kyiv in early September 2026. Both sides have signaled readiness for a new round possibly in October following Russia's September parliamentary elections, building on earlier 2026 sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva that yielded only a prisoner exchange. Core barriers persist, including Russia's demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donetsk and security concessions, which Kyiv rejects in favor of sovereignty protections and guarantees. Ongoing battlefield activity, Russian preparations for winter energy strikes, and Ukrainian openness to mutual infrastructure de-escalation continue to shape prospects, while a Zelensky-Trump meeting at the UN General Assembly adds near-term diplomatic focus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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