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Politics·Middle East

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

icon for Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Politics·Middle East

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 40%

Gadi Eizenkot 12.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.9%

Polymarket

$9,197,895 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 40%

Gadi Eizenkot 12.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.9%

Polymarket

$9,197,895 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$751,332 Vol.

40%

Naftali Bennett

$1,243,731 Vol.

40%

Gadi Eizenkot

$745,264 Vol.

12%

Avigdor Lieberman

$657,163 Vol.

4%

Yair Lapid

$507,870 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$333,667 Vol.

1%

Israel Katz

$157,514 Vol.

1%

Ayelet Shaked

$527,160 Vol.

<1%

Amir Ohana

$328,099 Vol.

<1%

Benny Gantz

$349,043 Vol.

<1%

Yossi Cohen

$607,948 Vol.

<1%

Yariv Levin

$467,041 Vol.

<1%

Yair Golan

$481,703 Vol.

<1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$714,679 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$511,672 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$531,199 Vol.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$283,822 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Israeli politics have kept the contest for prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election tightly balanced between Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett. The April 2026 announcement that Bennett and Yair Lapid would merge their parties into the "Together" alliance unified key opposition forces, producing early polls showing the new bloc competitive with or ahead of Likud in seat projections. Netanyahu maintains strong support within the religious and right-wing coalition partners, while Bennett benefits from centrist appeal and prior governing experience. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with both leading contenders near 40 percent implied probability and Gadi Eizenkot positioned as a potential third option. Further coalition negotiations, security developments, or additional party alignments before election day could shift momentum and clarify post-election formation prospects.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,197,895
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Israeli politics have kept the contest for prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election tightly balanced between Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett. The April 2026 announcement that Bennett and Yair Lapid would merge their parties into the "Together" alliance unified key opposition forces, producing early polls showing the new bloc competitive with or ahead of Likud in seat projections. Netanyahu maintains strong support within the religious and right-wing coalition partners, while Bennett benefits from centrist appeal and prior governing experience. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with both leading contenders near 40 percent implied probability and Gadi Eizenkot positioned as a potential third option. Further coalition negotiations, security developments, or additional party alignments before election day could shift momentum and clarify post-election formation prospects.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,197,895
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Benjamin Netanyahu" at 40%, followed by "Naftali Bennett" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" has generated $9.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" is "Benjamin Netanyahu" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Naftali Bennett" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.