Polymarket traders price May 2026 Argentina monthly CPI inflation in a tight race, with 2.2–2.4% leading at 37% implied probability and 2.5–2.7% close behind at 30.5%, reflecting April's INDEC-reported 2.6% print—the first monthly decline in 11 months from March's 3.4% spike—yet slightly above the 2.5% consensus forecast. This anchors expectations for Milei's austerity-driven disinflation trajectory, with annual inflation easing to 32.4%, but persistent broad-based price pressures in fuel and transportation temper bets on sub-2.5% outcomes versus a mild rebound. Rising inflation expectations to 34% and analysts' upward year-end revisions to 30.5% highlight key swing factors ahead of mid-June INDEC release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.2–2.4% 39%
2.5–2.7% 28%
3.1–3.3% 27%
3.7–3.9% 27%
NEW
$46,336 Vol.
NEW
$46,336 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
26%
2.2–2.4%
41%
2.5–2.7%
28%
2.8–3.0%
11%
3.1–3.3%
27%
3.4–3.6%
24%
3.7–3.9%
27%
4.0%+
24%
2.2–2.4% 39%
2.5–2.7% 28%
3.1–3.3% 27%
3.7–3.9% 27%
NEW
$46,336 Vol.
NEW
$46,336 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
$298 Vol.
26%
2.2–2.4%
$46,033 Vol.
41%
2.5–2.7%
$0 Vol.
28%
2.8–3.0%
$3 Vol.
11%
3.1–3.3%
$0 Vol.
27%
3.4–3.6%
$0 Vol.
24%
3.7–3.9%
$0 Vol.
27%
4.0%+
$1 Vol.
24%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price May 2026 Argentina monthly CPI inflation in a tight race, with 2.2–2.4% leading at 37% implied probability and 2.5–2.7% close behind at 30.5%, reflecting April's INDEC-reported 2.6% print—the first monthly decline in 11 months from March's 3.4% spike—yet slightly above the 2.5% consensus forecast. This anchors expectations for Milei's austerity-driven disinflation trajectory, with annual inflation easing to 32.4%, but persistent broad-based price pressures in fuel and transportation temper bets on sub-2.5% outcomes versus a mild rebound. Rising inflation expectations to 34% and analysts' upward year-end revisions to 30.5% highlight key swing factors ahead of mid-June INDEC release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Volume
$46,336End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price May 2026 Argentina monthly CPI inflation in a tight race, with 2.2–2.4% leading at 37% implied probability and 2.5–2.7% close behind at 30.5%, reflecting April's INDEC-reported 2.6% print—the first monthly decline in 11 months from March's 3.4% spike—yet slightly above the 2.5% consensus forecast. This anchors expectations for Milei's austerity-driven disinflation trajectory, with annual inflation easing to 32.4%, but persistent broad-based price pressures in fuel and transportation temper bets on sub-2.5% outcomes versus a mild rebound. Rising inflation expectations to 34% and analysts' upward year-end revisions to 30.5% highlight key swing factors ahead of mid-June INDEC release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$46,336End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price May 2026 Argentina monthly CPI inflation in a tight race, with 2.2–2.4% leading at 37% implied probability and 2.5–2.7% close behind at 30.5%, reflecting April's INDEC-reported 2.6% print—the first monthly decline in 11 months from March's 3.4% spike—yet slightly above the 2.5% consensus forecast. This anchors expectations for Milei's austerity-driven disinflation trajectory, with annual inflation easing to 32.4%, but persistent broad-based price pressures in fuel and transportation temper bets on sub-2.5% outcomes versus a mild rebound. Rising inflation expectations to 34% and analysts' upward year-end revisions to 30.5% highlight key swing factors ahead of mid-June INDEC release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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