Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability of no change in the Bank of England base rate at the June 18, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures that prompted an 8-1 vote to hold at 3.75% in late April. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 3.0% in February—driven by elevated energy and motor fuel costs amid Middle East conflict escalation, while core CPI eased only marginally to 3.1%. This uptick above the 2% target has boosted 17% odds for a 25 basis points hike, tempering cut expectations despite subdued GDP growth forecasts around 0.8%-0.9%. Traders eye mid-May April CPI data and wage growth releases as key swing factors ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBank of England decision in June?
Bank of England decision in June?
No change 83%
25 bps increase 17%
50+ bps increase <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$102,823 Vol.
$102,823 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
83%
25 bps increase
17%
50+ bps increase
<1%
No change 83%
25 bps increase 17%
50+ bps increase <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$102,823 Vol.
$102,823 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$11,952 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$21,063 Vol.
<1%
No change
$22,745 Vol.
83%
25 bps increase
$31,854 Vol.
17%
50+ bps increase
$15,210 Vol.
<1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability of no change in the Bank of England base rate at the June 18, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures that prompted an 8-1 vote to hold at 3.75% in late April. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 3.0% in February—driven by elevated energy and motor fuel costs amid Middle East conflict escalation, while core CPI eased only marginally to 3.1%. This uptick above the 2% target has boosted 17% odds for a 25 basis points hike, tempering cut expectations despite subdued GDP growth forecasts around 0.8%-0.9%. Traders eye mid-May April CPI data and wage growth releases as key swing factors ahead of resolution.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volume
$102,823End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability of no change in the Bank of England base rate at the June 18, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures that prompted an 8-1 vote to hold at 3.75% in late April. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 3.0% in February—driven by elevated energy and motor fuel costs amid Middle East conflict escalation, while core CPI eased only marginally to 3.1%. This uptick above the 2% target has boosted 17% odds for a 25 basis points hike, tempering cut expectations despite subdued GDP growth forecasts around 0.8%-0.9%. Traders eye mid-May April CPI data and wage growth releases as key swing factors ahead of resolution.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$102,823End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability of no change in the Bank of England base rate at the June 18, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures that prompted an 8-1 vote to hold at 3.75% in late April. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 3.0% in February—driven by elevated energy and motor fuel costs amid Middle East conflict escalation, while core CPI eased only marginally to 3.1%. This uptick above the 2% target has boosted 17% odds for a 25 basis points hike, tempering cut expectations despite subdued GDP growth forecasts around 0.8%-0.9%. Traders eye mid-May April CPI data and wage growth releases as key swing factors ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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