Macro Indicators Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

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Economy

Economy

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How many jobs added in January? card icon

How many jobs added in January?

<0

5%

0-25k

27%

<0

5%

0-25k

27%

$13k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
How high will US unemployment go in 2026? card icon

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0%

27%

5.5%

12%

5.0%

27%

5.5%

12%

$28k Vol.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? card icon

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 5.5%

1%

↑ 5.25%

2%

↑ 5.5%

1%

↑ 5.25%

2%

$262k Vol.

China GDP growth in Q4 2025? card icon

China GDP growth in Q4 2025?

<2.5%

<1%

2.5-3.0%

<1%

<2.5%

<1%

2.5-3.0%

<1%

$158k Vol.

How high will inflation get in 2025? card icon

How high will inflation get in 2025?

Above 3%

3%

Above 4%

1%

Above 3%

3%

Above 4%

1%

$2m Vol.

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026 card icon

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

2%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

2%

$234k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
December Inflation US - Monthly card icon

December Inflation US - Monthly

≤0.1%

9%

0.2%

35%

≤0.1%

9%

0.2%

35%

$205k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
US GDP growth in Q4 2025? card icon

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

<1.0%

2%

1.0–1.5%

6%

<1.0%

2%

1.0–1.5%

6%

$201k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
November Inflation - Monthly card icon

November Inflation - Monthly

≤0.1%

1%

0.2%

1%

≤0.1%

1%

0.2%

1%

$288k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
How high will inflation get in 2026? card icon

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3%

30%

Above 4%

11%

Above 3%

30%

Above 4%

11%

$34k Vol.

December Inflation US - Annual card icon

December Inflation US - Annual

≤2.8%

90%

2.9%

8%

≤2.8%

90%

2.9%

8%

$182k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
Negative GDP growth in 2025? card icon

Negative GDP growth in 2025?

1%

chance

$102k Vol.

Price of dozen eggs in December? card icon

Price of dozen eggs in December?

<$2.50

10%

$2.50–2.75

28%

<$2.50

10%

$2.50–2.75

28%

$4k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
December Inflation Argentina - Monthly card icon

December Inflation Argentina - Monthly

<1.5%

<1%

1.5–1.7%

<1%

<1.5%

<1%

1.5–1.7%

<1%

$22k Vol.

Bank of Brazil decision in January? card icon

Bank of Brazil decision in January?

No Change

83%

Cut

16%

No Change

83%

Cut

16%

$109k Vol.

repeat-3daily
January Unemployment Rate card icon

January Unemployment Rate

≤4.2%

22%

4.3%

18%

≤4.2%

22%

4.3%

18%

$25k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
Bank of Mexico decision in February? card icon

Bank of Mexico decision in February?

Decrease

10%

No change

90%

Decrease

10%

No change

90%

$39k Vol.

repeat-3annual
US fertility rate up in Q3 2025? card icon

US fertility rate up in Q3 2025?

63%

chance

$3k Vol.

December Inflation Argentina - Annual card icon

December Inflation Argentina - Annual

<24%

2%

24–26.9%

1%

<24%

2%

24–26.9%

1%

$979k Vol.