South Africa's May 2026 CPI print of 4.5% year-over-year, up from 4.0% in April, reflects pass-through from higher fuel costs amid geopolitical tensions and electricity tariff increases, though food inflation eased to 1.9%. The South African Reserve Bank revised its 2026 headline average forecast to 4.4% in its May Monetary Policy Committee statement, citing persistent core pressures peaking early next year, while the OECD projects 4.2%. These official outlooks contrast with trader positioning favoring 2.6-3.2% ranges, driven by expectations of rand strength, moderating services inflation, and potential policy easing toward the 3% target. Key swing factors include oil price volatility, global risk appetite affecting emerging-market currencies, and upcoming June CPI data that could shift consensus around the closely contested lower versus mid-4% brackets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourInflation annuelle en Afrique du Sud 2026
Inflation annuelle en Afrique du Sud 2026
<2,6 % 44.9%
2,9-3,2 % 40.1%
3,8-4,1 % 28.0%
>5,0 % 23.9%
$21,493 Vol.
$21,493 Vol.
20 janv. 2027
<2,6 %
27%
2,6-2,9 %
16%
2,9-3,2 %
40%
3,2-3,5 %
<1%
3,5-3,8 %
21%
3,8-4,1 %
28%
4,1-4,4 %
39%
4,4-4,7 %
10%
4,7-5,0 %
4%
>5,0 %
24%
<2,6 % 44.9%
2,9-3,2 % 40.1%
3,8-4,1 % 28.0%
>5,0 % 23.9%
$21,493 Vol.
$21,493 Vol.
20 janv. 2027
<2,6 %
$272 Vol.
27%
2,6-2,9 %
$282 Vol.
16%
2,9-3,2 %
$369 Vol.
40%
3,2-3,5 %
$383 Vol.
<1%
3,5-3,8 %
$471 Vol.
21%
3,8-4,1 %
$666 Vol.
28%
4,1-4,4 %
$539 Vol.
39%
4,4-4,7 %
$12,146 Vol.
10%
4,7-5,0 %
$384 Vol.
4%
>5,0 %
$5,981 Vol.
24%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa's May 2026 CPI print of 4.5% year-over-year, up from 4.0% in April, reflects pass-through from higher fuel costs amid geopolitical tensions and electricity tariff increases, though food inflation eased to 1.9%. The South African Reserve Bank revised its 2026 headline average forecast to 4.4% in its May Monetary Policy Committee statement, citing persistent core pressures peaking early next year, while the OECD projects 4.2%. These official outlooks contrast with trader positioning favoring 2.6-3.2% ranges, driven by expectations of rand strength, moderating services inflation, and potential policy easing toward the 3% target. Key swing factors include oil price volatility, global risk appetite affecting emerging-market currencies, and upcoming June CPI data that could shift consensus around the closely contested lower versus mid-4% brackets.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Marché ouvert : Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$21,493Date de fin
20 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa's May 2026 CPI print of 4.5% year-over-year, up from 4.0% in April, reflects pass-through from higher fuel costs amid geopolitical tensions and electricity tariff increases, though food inflation eased to 1.9%. The South African Reserve Bank revised its 2026 headline average forecast to 4.4% in its May Monetary Policy Committee statement, citing persistent core pressures peaking early next year, while the OECD projects 4.2%. These official outlooks contrast with trader positioning favoring 2.6-3.2% ranges, driven by expectations of rand strength, moderating services inflation, and potential policy easing toward the 3% target. Key swing factors include oil price volatility, global risk appetite affecting emerging-market currencies, and upcoming June CPI data that could shift consensus around the closely contested lower versus mid-4% brackets.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Volume
$21,493Date de fin
20 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Africa's May 2026 CPI print of 4.5% year-over-year, up from 4.0% in April, reflects pass-through from higher fuel costs amid geopolitical tensions and electricity tariff increases, though food inflation eased to 1.9%. The South African Reserve Bank revised its 2026 headline average forecast to 4.4% in its May Monetary Policy Committee statement, citing persistent core pressures peaking early next year, while the OECD projects 4.2%. These official outlooks contrast with trader positioning favoring 2.6-3.2% ranges, driven by expectations of rand strength, moderating services inflation, and potential policy easing toward the 3% target. Key swing factors include oil price volatility, global risk appetite affecting emerging-market currencies, and upcoming June CPI data that could shift consensus around the closely contested lower versus mid-4% brackets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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