Skip to main content
icon for Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Economy·GDP

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

icon for Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Economy·GDP

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Jan 31, 2027

Jan 31, 2027

1.0-2.0% 31%

0-1.0% 23.7%

<0% 13.6%

6.0-7.0% 7.0%

Polymarket

$10,228 Vol.

1.0-2.0% 31%

0-1.0% 23.7%

<0% 13.6%

6.0-7.0% 7.0%

Polymarket

$10,228 Vol.

<0%

$885 Vol.

14%

0-1.0%

$709 Vol.

24%

1.0-2.0%

$2,079 Vol.

31%

2.0-3.0%

$689 Vol.

<1%

3.0-4.0%

$614 Vol.

4%

4.0-5.0%

$1,560 Vol.

3%

5.0-6.0%

$683 Vol.

2%

6.0-7.0%

$1,875 Vol.

7%

7.0%+

$1,132 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weak euro area GDP data and downward revisions in official forecasts have positioned the 1.0-2.0% and 0-1.0% ranges as the leading market-implied outcomes for 2026 annual growth. Eurostat reported just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter expansion in Q1 2026, with year-over-year growth slowing to 0.8%, while the European Commission’s May Spring Forecast cut its euro-area projection to 0.9% amid energy-price pressures from the Middle East conflict. IMF staff projections similarly point to 0.9% growth, citing weaker investment, consumption, and temporary supply shocks that also elevate inflation risks. These developments have reinforced trader consensus around subdued expansion near potential, with upcoming ECB projections and further Q2 data releases likely to influence sentiment around the closely contested 0-2% band.

This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,228
End Date
Jan 31, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weak euro area GDP data and downward revisions in official forecasts have positioned the 1.0-2.0% and 0-1.0% ranges as the leading market-implied outcomes for 2026 annual growth. Eurostat reported just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter expansion in Q1 2026, with year-over-year growth slowing to 0.8%, while the European Commission’s May Spring Forecast cut its euro-area projection to 0.9% amid energy-price pressures from the Middle East conflict. IMF staff projections similarly point to 0.9% growth, citing weaker investment, consumption, and temporary supply shocks that also elevate inflation risks. These developments have reinforced trader consensus around subdued expansion near potential, with upcoming ECB projections and further Q2 data releases likely to influence sentiment around the closely contested 0-2% band.

This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,228
End Date
Jan 31, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Related

icon for Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

79%
icon for Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?

21%
icon for Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?

78%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1.0-2.0%" at 31%, followed by "0-1.0%" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026" has generated $10.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026" is "1.0-2.0%" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "0-1.0%" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.