Recent readings show China's consumer price index easing to 0.5% year-over-year in July 2026 from 1.0% in June, driven by falling food prices and slower non-food gains amid persistent weak domestic demand. This aligns with subdued consumer spending and base effects that have kept annual inflation below 1.2% for much of the year. Forecasts from institutions such as the IMF and ADB cluster near 0.9–1.2% for the full year, reflecting limited pass-through from producer price pressures tied to energy costs and industrial upgrading. Traders assign the highest probability to the 0.6–1.0% band because ongoing policy support has yet to generate sustained demand-led price increases, while risks of further downside from property sector weakness or global commodity shifts remain balanced against modest recovery signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 43%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.1%
1.1 – 1.5% 16%
1.6 – 2.0% 5.6%
$72,219 Vol.
$72,219 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
4%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
43%
1.1 – 1.5%
16%
1.6 – 2.0%
6%
2.0-2.4%
6%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 43%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.1%
1.1 – 1.5% 16%
1.6 – 2.0% 5.6%
$72,219 Vol.
$72,219 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
$19,716 Vol.
4%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$3,327 Vol.
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$4,597 Vol.
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
$4,841 Vol.
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
$8,744 Vol.
43%
1.1 – 1.5%
$13,331 Vol.
16%
1.6 – 2.0%
$6,446 Vol.
6%
2.0-2.4%
$7,874 Vol.
6%
2.5%+
$3,344 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent readings show China's consumer price index easing to 0.5% year-over-year in July 2026 from 1.0% in June, driven by falling food prices and slower non-food gains amid persistent weak domestic demand. This aligns with subdued consumer spending and base effects that have kept annual inflation below 1.2% for much of the year. Forecasts from institutions such as the IMF and ADB cluster near 0.9–1.2% for the full year, reflecting limited pass-through from producer price pressures tied to energy costs and industrial upgrading. Traders assign the highest probability to the 0.6–1.0% band because ongoing policy support has yet to generate sustained demand-led price increases, while risks of further downside from property sector weakness or global commodity shifts remain balanced against modest recovery signals.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$72,219End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent readings show China's consumer price index easing to 0.5% year-over-year in July 2026 from 1.0% in June, driven by falling food prices and slower non-food gains amid persistent weak domestic demand. This aligns with subdued consumer spending and base effects that have kept annual inflation below 1.2% for much of the year. Forecasts from institutions such as the IMF and ADB cluster near 0.9–1.2% for the full year, reflecting limited pass-through from producer price pressures tied to energy costs and industrial upgrading. Traders assign the highest probability to the 0.6–1.0% band because ongoing policy support has yet to generate sustained demand-led price increases, while risks of further downside from property sector weakness or global commodity shifts remain balanced against modest recovery signals.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$72,219End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent readings show China's consumer price index easing to 0.5% year-over-year in July 2026 from 1.0% in June, driven by falling food prices and slower non-food gains amid persistent weak domestic demand. This aligns with subdued consumer spending and base effects that have kept annual inflation below 1.2% for much of the year. Forecasts from institutions such as the IMF and ADB cluster near 0.9–1.2% for the full year, reflecting limited pass-through from producer price pressures tied to energy costs and industrial upgrading. Traders assign the highest probability to the 0.6–1.0% band because ongoing policy support has yet to generate sustained demand-led price increases, while risks of further downside from property sector weakness or global commodity shifts remain balanced against modest recovery signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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