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Sports·UFC

Gable Steveson – Elisha Ellison

1d 20h
Polymarket
Gable Steveson
Gable Steveson
9:00 PMJuly 11
Elisha Ellison
Elisha Ellison
$57.80K Vol.Polymarket

Combos

Submission story
Favorite finish
Knockout brawl

Moneyline

$56.4K Vol.

Totals

$258 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$21 Vol.

Steveson to win by KO/TKO?

$453 Vol.

Ellison to win by KO/TKO?

$149 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$493 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Elisha Ellison" if Elisha Ellison is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gable Steveson defeats Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elisha Ellison defeats Gable Steveson at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Gable Steveson's Olympic gold medalist wrestling pedigree and 3-0 MMA record have driven overwhelming trader consensus for a dominant debut win over 5-2 veteran Elisha Ellison at UFC 329 on July 11. The heavyweight prelim bout at T-Mobile Arena shifted from the main card after lineup adjustments tied to the McGregor-Holloway 2 headliner, reflecting Steveson's status as a high-upside prospect transitioning from NFL and WWE pursuits. Ellison, coming off an early UFC loss and known for finishing power, has publicly outlined a spoiling strategy, yet faces steep stylistic disadvantages against Steveson's elite grappling. Recent betting lines have settled in the -2000 to -3200 range, underscoring the market's view of limited realistic paths for an upset despite the short-notice nature of some heavyweight debuts.

This market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.

It will resolve to "Elisha Ellison" if Elisha Ellison is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$57,800
End Date
Jul 12, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Elisha Ellison" if Elisha Ellison is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Ellison vs. Steveson” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Elisha Ellison and the Gable Steveson, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Steveson is currently priced at 92¢ (92% implied probability) and Ellison at 8¢ (8%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Ellison vs. Steveson” market has generated $57.8K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Ellison vs. Steveson,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows ELI10 at 8¢ and GSTEVE at 92¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Ellison vs. Steveson” show Gable Steveson at 92¢ (92% implied probability) and Elisha Ellison at 8¢ (8%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Ellison vs. Steveson” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Gable Steveson – Elisha Ellison

1d 20h
Polymarket
Gable Steveson
Gable Steveson
9:00 PMJuly 11
Elisha Ellison
Elisha Ellison
$57.80K Vol.Polymarket

Combos

Submission story
Favorite finish
Knockout brawl

Moneyline

$56.4K Vol.

Totals

$258 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$21 Vol.

Steveson to win by KO/TKO?

$453 Vol.

Ellison to win by KO/TKO?

$149 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$493 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Elisha Ellison" if Elisha Ellison is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gable Steveson defeats Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elisha Ellison defeats Gable Steveson at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Gable Steveson's Olympic gold medalist wrestling pedigree and 3-0 MMA record have driven overwhelming trader consensus for a dominant debut win over 5-2 veteran Elisha Ellison at UFC 329 on July 11. The heavyweight prelim bout at T-Mobile Arena shifted from the main card after lineup adjustments tied to the McGregor-Holloway 2 headliner, reflecting Steveson's status as a high-upside prospect transitioning from NFL and WWE pursuits. Ellison, coming off an early UFC loss and known for finishing power, has publicly outlined a spoiling strategy, yet faces steep stylistic disadvantages against Steveson's elite grappling. Recent betting lines have settled in the -2000 to -3200 range, underscoring the market's view of limited realistic paths for an upset despite the short-notice nature of some heavyweight debuts.

This market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.

It will resolve to "Elisha Ellison" if Elisha Ellison is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$57,800
End Date
Jul 12, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Elisha Ellison" if Elisha Ellison is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Ellison vs. Steveson” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Elisha Ellison and the Gable Steveson, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Steveson is currently priced at 92¢ (92% implied probability) and Ellison at 8¢ (8%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Ellison vs. Steveson” market has generated $57.8K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Ellison vs. Steveson,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows ELI10 at 8¢ and GSTEVE at 92¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Ellison vs. Steveson” show Gable Steveson at 92¢ (92% implied probability) and Elisha Ellison at 8¢ (8%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Ellison vs. Steveson” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.

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