**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$150,796 Vol.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
96%

Nathalie Arthaud
85%

Édouard Philippe
85%

Éric Zemmour
82%

Jordan Bardella
76%

Bruno Retailleau
76%

Fabien Roussel
69%

Dominique de Villepin
53%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
59%

David Lisnard
45%

Gabriel Attal
42%

Raphaël Glucksmann
41%

François Ruffin
34%

Marine Tondelier
31%

François Hollande
30%

François Asselineau
22%

Marine Le Pen
19%

Juan Branco
15%

Sarah Knafo
14%

Matthieu Pigasse
13%

Bernard Cazeneuve
10%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc
9%

Philippe de Villiers
9%

Carole Delga
9%

Jérôme Guedj
8%

Xavier Bertrand
8%

Manuel Bompard
8%

Ségolène Royal
7%

Karim Bouamrane
7%

Olivier Faure
7%

Jean-Michel Fauvergue
7%

Jean Castex
6%

Gérald Darmanin
6%

François Bayrou
6%

Delphine Batho
5%

Bally Bagayoko
4%

Mathilde Panot
4%

Manuel Valls
4%

Laurent Wauquiez
3%

Clémentine Autain
3%

Teddy Riner
3%

Sébastien Lecornu
3%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
2%

Valérie Pécresse
2%

Élisabeth Borne
2%

Michel Barnier
2%
$150,796 Vol.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
96%

Nathalie Arthaud
85%

Édouard Philippe
85%

Éric Zemmour
82%

Jordan Bardella
76%

Bruno Retailleau
76%

Fabien Roussel
69%

Dominique de Villepin
53%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
59%

David Lisnard
45%

Gabriel Attal
42%

Raphaël Glucksmann
41%

François Ruffin
34%

Marine Tondelier
31%

François Hollande
30%

François Asselineau
22%

Marine Le Pen
19%

Juan Branco
15%

Sarah Knafo
14%

Matthieu Pigasse
13%

Bernard Cazeneuve
10%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc
9%

Philippe de Villiers
9%

Carole Delga
9%

Jérôme Guedj
8%

Xavier Bertrand
8%

Manuel Bompard
8%

Ségolène Royal
7%

Karim Bouamrane
7%

Olivier Faure
7%

Jean-Michel Fauvergue
7%

Jean Castex
6%

Gérald Darmanin
6%

François Bayrou
6%

Delphine Batho
5%

Bally Bagayoko
4%

Mathilde Panot
4%

Manuel Valls
4%

Laurent Wauquiez
3%

Clémentine Autain
3%

Teddy Riner
3%

Sébastien Lecornu
3%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
2%

Valérie Pécresse
2%

Élisabeth Borne
2%

Michel Barnier
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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