Traders assign an 88% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion market cap because the artificial-intelligence company has accelerated its valuation trajectory through successive large private rounds, most recently reaching $380 billion after a $30 billion Series G in February 2026 and now pursuing $30–50 billion more at up to $900–950 billion. Recent reporting shows Anthropic engaging bankers and law firms for a potential October 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion, supported by rapid revenue growth in enterprise large-language-model deployments and competitive positioning against OpenAI. The modest 10% chance assigned to no IPO by December 2027 reflects the absence of regulatory or technical hurdles that would delay a public debut, while lower brackets remain thinly priced given the momentum in AI funding and the company’s demonstrated scaling. Key catalysts to watch include closure of the current private round and any SEC filing that would lock in an IPO timeline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert600 Mrd.+ 88%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 10%
400–600 Mrd. 2.1%
300–400 Mrd. <1%
$298,162 Vol.
$298,162 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<100 Mrd. $
<1%
100–200 Mrd.
<1%
200–300 Mrd.
<1%
300–400 Mrd.
<1%
400–600 Mrd.
2%
600 Mrd.+
88%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
10%
600 Mrd.+ 88%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 10%
400–600 Mrd. 2.1%
300–400 Mrd. <1%
$298,162 Vol.
$298,162 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<100 Mrd. $
$138,188 Vol.
<1%
100–200 Mrd.
$53,875 Vol.
<1%
200–300 Mrd.
$8,872 Vol.
<1%
300–400 Mrd.
$60,101 Vol.
<1%
400–600 Mrd.
$9,133 Vol.
2%
600 Mrd.+
$15,320 Vol.
88%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
$12,673 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign an 88% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion market cap because the artificial-intelligence company has accelerated its valuation trajectory through successive large private rounds, most recently reaching $380 billion after a $30 billion Series G in February 2026 and now pursuing $30–50 billion more at up to $900–950 billion. Recent reporting shows Anthropic engaging bankers and law firms for a potential October 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion, supported by rapid revenue growth in enterprise large-language-model deployments and competitive positioning against OpenAI. The modest 10% chance assigned to no IPO by December 2027 reflects the absence of regulatory or technical hurdles that would delay a public debut, while lower brackets remain thinly priced given the momentum in AI funding and the company’s demonstrated scaling. Key catalysts to watch include closure of the current private round and any SEC filing that would lock in an IPO timeline.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volumen
$298,162Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign an 88% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion market cap because the artificial-intelligence company has accelerated its valuation trajectory through successive large private rounds, most recently reaching $380 billion after a $30 billion Series G in February 2026 and now pursuing $30–50 billion more at up to $900–950 billion. Recent reporting shows Anthropic engaging bankers and law firms for a potential October 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion, supported by rapid revenue growth in enterprise large-language-model deployments and competitive positioning against OpenAI. The modest 10% chance assigned to no IPO by December 2027 reflects the absence of regulatory or technical hurdles that would delay a public debut, while lower brackets remain thinly priced given the momentum in AI funding and the company’s demonstrated scaling. Key catalysts to watch include closure of the current private round and any SEC filing that would lock in an IPO timeline.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$298,162Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign an 88% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion market cap because the artificial-intelligence company has accelerated its valuation trajectory through successive large private rounds, most recently reaching $380 billion after a $30 billion Series G in February 2026 and now pursuing $30–50 billion more at up to $900–950 billion. Recent reporting shows Anthropic engaging bankers and law firms for a potential October 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion, supported by rapid revenue growth in enterprise large-language-model deployments and competitive positioning against OpenAI. The modest 10% chance assigned to no IPO by December 2027 reflects the absence of regulatory or technical hurdles that would delay a public debut, while lower brackets remain thinly priced given the momentum in AI funding and the company’s demonstrated scaling. Key catalysts to watch include closure of the current private round and any SEC filing that would lock in an IPO timeline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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