Argentina’s managed crawling band, adjusted monthly to lagged inflation, anchors trader expectations for the official USD/ARS rate at end-2026, with the leading <1,600 bracket holding a 45% market-implied probability and the 1,600–1,699.99 range at 37.5%. From the current spot near 1,488, the framework has supported steady reserve accumulation and a gradual real appreciation of the peso while inflation moderates toward 25–29% annualized, tempering the pace of depreciation versus prior fixed-crawl regimes. Analyst projections cluster between 1,760 and 1,853, reflecting confidence in fiscal discipline and export-driven reserve gains yet acknowledging risks from sticky monthly price pressures or external shocks that could widen the band faster. Near-term catalysts include upcoming BCRA purchase data and inflation releases that will calibrate the band’s monthly step.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$21,579 Vol.
$21,579 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
<1600,00
43%
1600,00–1699,99
38%
1700,00–1799,99
9%
1800,00–1899,99
5%
1900,00–1999,99
1%
2000,00+
3%
$21,579 Vol.
$21,579 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
<1600,00
$2,450 Vol.
43%
1600,00–1699,99
$2,000 Vol.
38%
1700,00–1799,99
$2,198 Vol.
9%
1800,00–1899,99
$1,626 Vol.
5%
1900,00–1999,99
$11,566 Vol.
1%
2000,00+
$1,740 Vol.
3%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s managed crawling band, adjusted monthly to lagged inflation, anchors trader expectations for the official USD/ARS rate at end-2026, with the leading <1,600 bracket holding a 45% market-implied probability and the 1,600–1,699.99 range at 37.5%. From the current spot near 1,488, the framework has supported steady reserve accumulation and a gradual real appreciation of the peso while inflation moderates toward 25–29% annualized, tempering the pace of depreciation versus prior fixed-crawl regimes. Analyst projections cluster between 1,760 and 1,853, reflecting confidence in fiscal discipline and export-driven reserve gains yet acknowledging risks from sticky monthly price pressures or external shocks that could widen the band faster. Near-term catalysts include upcoming BCRA purchase data and inflation releases that will calibrate the band’s monthly step.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$21,579Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s managed crawling band, adjusted monthly to lagged inflation, anchors trader expectations for the official USD/ARS rate at end-2026, with the leading <1,600 bracket holding a 45% market-implied probability and the 1,600–1,699.99 range at 37.5%. From the current spot near 1,488, the framework has supported steady reserve accumulation and a gradual real appreciation of the peso while inflation moderates toward 25–29% annualized, tempering the pace of depreciation versus prior fixed-crawl regimes. Analyst projections cluster between 1,760 and 1,853, reflecting confidence in fiscal discipline and export-driven reserve gains yet acknowledging risks from sticky monthly price pressures or external shocks that could widen the band faster. Near-term catalysts include upcoming BCRA purchase data and inflation releases that will calibrate the band’s monthly step.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$21,579Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s managed crawling band, adjusted monthly to lagged inflation, anchors trader expectations for the official USD/ARS rate at end-2026, with the leading <1,600 bracket holding a 45% market-implied probability and the 1,600–1,699.99 range at 37.5%. From the current spot near 1,488, the framework has supported steady reserve accumulation and a gradual real appreciation of the peso while inflation moderates toward 25–29% annualized, tempering the pace of depreciation versus prior fixed-crawl regimes. Analyst projections cluster between 1,760 and 1,853, reflecting confidence in fiscal discipline and export-driven reserve gains yet acknowledging risks from sticky monthly price pressures or external shocks that could widen the band faster. Near-term catalysts include upcoming BCRA purchase data and inflation releases that will calibrate the band’s monthly step.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen