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icon for Trump on $250 bill this year?

Trump on $250 bill this year?

icon for Trump on $250 bill this year?

Trump on $250 bill this year?

9% Chance
Polymarket

$13,597 Vol.

9% Chance
Polymarket

$13,597 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count. A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count. A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trump administration officials have advanced mockups for a commemorative $250 note tied to the July 4, 2026, semiquincentennial, yet federal law since 1866 bars living portraits on currency. The Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act (H.R. 1761), introduced in February 2025 to create a narrow presidential exception, remains stalled in the House Financial Services Committee with no floor vote scheduled. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed in late May that any printing requires congressional passage first, while prototypes and internal preparations continue only on a contingency basis. With roughly three weeks until the anniversary and broader legislative priorities dominating the calendar, traders assign low odds to enactment and production this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.

A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.

A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$13,597
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count. A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count. A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count. A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count. A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trump administration officials have advanced mockups for a commemorative $250 note tied to the July 4, 2026, semiquincentennial, yet federal law since 1866 bars living portraits on currency. The Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act (H.R. 1761), introduced in February 2025 to create a narrow presidential exception, remains stalled in the House Financial Services Committee with no floor vote scheduled. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed in late May that any printing requires congressional passage first, while prototypes and internal preparations continue only on a contingency basis. With roughly three weeks until the anniversary and broader legislative priorities dominating the calendar, traders assign low odds to enactment and production this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.

A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.

A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$13,597
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count. A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count. A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Trump on $250 bill this year?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 9% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 9¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 9%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Trump on $250 bill this year?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $13.6K generiert, seit der Markt am May 28, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Trump on $250 bill this year?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Trump on $250 bill this year?" liegt bei 9% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 9% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Trump on $250 bill this year?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.