Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate hovers near 1,490 amid a managed crawling band regime introduced in early 2026 that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation, supporting gradual peso depreciation while the central bank accumulates reserves through dollar purchases. Recent data show inflation cooling toward 17-31% annualized for 2026, bolstered by fiscal surpluses, strong energy and agricultural exports, and external financing from the IMF and bilateral sources, yet persistent current account pressures and peso overvaluation risks could accelerate adjustments. With roughly 4.5 months remaining until year-end, market-implied odds near 44.5% for sub-1,600 and 41.5% for 1,600-1,700 reflect tight trader consensus on the balance between disinflation progress and reserve-building needs versus potential band widening or external shocks. Key catalysts ahead include upcoming inflation releases, debt service obligations, and any policy shifts ahead of 2027 elections.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$21,579 Vol.
$21,579 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
<1600,00
44%
1600,00–1699,99
40%
1700,00–1799,99
8%
1800,00–1899,99
5%
1900,00–1999,99
1%
2000,00+
3%
$21,579 Vol.
$21,579 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
<1600,00
$2,450 Vol.
44%
1600,00–1699,99
$2,000 Vol.
40%
1700,00–1799,99
$2,198 Vol.
8%
1800,00–1899,99
$1,626 Vol.
5%
1900,00–1999,99
$11,566 Vol.
1%
2000,00+
$1,740 Vol.
3%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate hovers near 1,490 amid a managed crawling band regime introduced in early 2026 that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation, supporting gradual peso depreciation while the central bank accumulates reserves through dollar purchases. Recent data show inflation cooling toward 17-31% annualized for 2026, bolstered by fiscal surpluses, strong energy and agricultural exports, and external financing from the IMF and bilateral sources, yet persistent current account pressures and peso overvaluation risks could accelerate adjustments. With roughly 4.5 months remaining until year-end, market-implied odds near 44.5% for sub-1,600 and 41.5% for 1,600-1,700 reflect tight trader consensus on the balance between disinflation progress and reserve-building needs versus potential band widening or external shocks. Key catalysts ahead include upcoming inflation releases, debt service obligations, and any policy shifts ahead of 2027 elections.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$21,579Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate hovers near 1,490 amid a managed crawling band regime introduced in early 2026 that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation, supporting gradual peso depreciation while the central bank accumulates reserves through dollar purchases. Recent data show inflation cooling toward 17-31% annualized for 2026, bolstered by fiscal surpluses, strong energy and agricultural exports, and external financing from the IMF and bilateral sources, yet persistent current account pressures and peso overvaluation risks could accelerate adjustments. With roughly 4.5 months remaining until year-end, market-implied odds near 44.5% for sub-1,600 and 41.5% for 1,600-1,700 reflect tight trader consensus on the balance between disinflation progress and reserve-building needs versus potential band widening or external shocks. Key catalysts ahead include upcoming inflation releases, debt service obligations, and any policy shifts ahead of 2027 elections.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$21,579Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate hovers near 1,490 amid a managed crawling band regime introduced in early 2026 that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation, supporting gradual peso depreciation while the central bank accumulates reserves through dollar purchases. Recent data show inflation cooling toward 17-31% annualized for 2026, bolstered by fiscal surpluses, strong energy and agricultural exports, and external financing from the IMF and bilateral sources, yet persistent current account pressures and peso overvaluation risks could accelerate adjustments. With roughly 4.5 months remaining until year-end, market-implied odds near 44.5% for sub-1,600 and 41.5% for 1,600-1,700 reflect tight trader consensus on the balance between disinflation progress and reserve-building needs versus potential band widening or external shocks. Key catalysts ahead include upcoming inflation releases, debt service obligations, and any policy shifts ahead of 2027 elections.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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