**OpenAI released GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, marking the first model to hit its internal “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework.** This capability—autonomous discovery and exploitation of zero-days across hardened systems—drove the company to stage access, starting with a small group of Daybreak testers before expanding to ChatGPT Pro, Enterprise, Business, and the public API, with Plus rollout still underway as of September 12. Traders see low near-term removal risk because OpenAI is actively broadening availability despite the safeguards, yet the phased limits and emphasis on frontier safety create scope for rapid pullback if misuse or regulatory pressure emerges. Key near-term catalysts include completion of the Plus rollout and any new external benchmarks or incidents that could shift the balance between capability demonstration and access controls.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
30. Sep. 2026
30. September
4%
31. Oktober
13%
$329 Vol.
30. September
$299 Vol.
4%
31. Oktober
$30 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.**OpenAI released GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, marking the first model to hit its internal “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework.** This capability—autonomous discovery and exploitation of zero-days across hardened systems—drove the company to stage access, starting with a small group of Daybreak testers before expanding to ChatGPT Pro, Enterprise, Business, and the public API, with Plus rollout still underway as of September 12.
Traders see low near-term removal risk because OpenAI is actively broadening availability despite the safeguards, yet the phased limits and emphasis on frontier safety create scope for rapid pullback if misuse or regulatory pressure emerges. Key near-term catalysts include completion of the Plus rollout and any new external benchmarks or incidents that could shift the balance between capability demonstration and access controls.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Volumen
$329Enddatum
1. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.**OpenAI released GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, marking the first model to hit its internal “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework.** This capability—autonomous discovery and exploitation of zero-days across hardened systems—drove the company to stage access, starting with a small group of Daybreak testers before expanding to ChatGPT Pro, Enterprise, Business, and the public API, with Plus rollout still underway as of September 12.
Traders see low near-term removal risk because OpenAI is actively broadening availability despite the safeguards, yet the phased limits and emphasis on frontier safety create scope for rapid pullback if misuse or regulatory pressure emerges. Key near-term catalysts include completion of the Plus rollout and any new external benchmarks or incidents that could shift the balance between capability demonstration and access controls.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$329Enddatum
1. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...**OpenAI released GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, marking the first model to hit its internal “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework.** This capability—autonomous discovery and exploitation of zero-days across hardened systems—drove the company to stage access, starting with a small group of Daybreak testers before expanding to ChatGPT Pro, Enterprise, Business, and the public API, with Plus rollout still underway as of September 12. Traders see low near-term removal risk because OpenAI is actively broadening availability despite the safeguards, yet the phased limits and emphasis on frontier safety create scope for rapid pullback if misuse or regulatory pressure emerges. Key near-term catalysts include completion of the Plus rollout and any new external benchmarks or incidents that could shift the balance between capability demonstration and access controls.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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