Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume from May 12-19, 2026, clusters tightly around the 180-199 and 200-219 ranges, each backed by roughly 37-38% implied probability. This reflects his established pattern of high-frequency posting on X, where daily output typically averages 25-30 tweets amid business commentary, industry reactions, and follower engagement. Recent platform dynamics and his steady presence in public discourse have reinforced this baseline, though daily totals can shift with breaking news or major announcements. As the window closes, any final surge will likely depend on real-time responses to unfolding events rather than structural changes in his activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert180-199 39.1%
200-219 36.6%
220-239 14.5%
160-179 5.5%
$9,468,105 Vol.
$9,468,105 Vol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
5%
180-199
39%
200-219
37%
220-239
15%
240-259
3%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 39.1%
200-219 36.6%
220-239 14.5%
160-179 5.5%
$9,468,105 Vol.
$9,468,105 Vol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
5%
180-199
39%
200-219
37%
220-239
15%
240-259
3%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume from May 12-19, 2026, clusters tightly around the 180-199 and 200-219 ranges, each backed by roughly 37-38% implied probability. This reflects his established pattern of high-frequency posting on X, where daily output typically averages 25-30 tweets amid business commentary, industry reactions, and follower engagement. Recent platform dynamics and his steady presence in public discourse have reinforced this baseline, though daily totals can shift with breaking news or major announcements. As the window closes, any final surge will likely depend on real-time responses to unfolding events rather than structural changes in his activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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