Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 16-18, driven by his steady baseline posting rhythm in the absence of major corporate milestones or breaking political developments. With no high-profile Tesla or SpaceX announcements and limited viral cultural moments pulling extra engagement on X, his output has aligned closely with typical mid-week patterns observed in recent weeks. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around this band reflects traders’ reading of consistent platform usage rather than any sudden surge, while the slim probabilities on higher brackets underscore how quickly an unexpected news cycle could shift momentum before the period closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert40-64 78%
65-89 21%
90-114 1.4%
115-139 <1%
$857,957 Vol.
$857,957 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
78%
65-89
21%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 78%
65-89 21%
90-114 1.4%
115-139 <1%
$857,957 Vol.
$857,957 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
<40
$343,264 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$77,648 Vol.
78%
65-89
$81,505 Vol.
21%
90-114
$100,381 Vol.
1%
115-139
$69,052 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$61,120 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$18,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 16-18, driven by his steady baseline posting rhythm in the absence of major corporate milestones or breaking political developments. With no high-profile Tesla or SpaceX announcements and limited viral cultural moments pulling extra engagement on X, his output has aligned closely with typical mid-week patterns observed in recent weeks. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around this band reflects traders’ reading of consistent platform usage rather than any sudden surge, while the slim probabilities on higher brackets underscore how quickly an unexpected news cycle could shift momentum before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$857,957Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 16-18, driven by his steady baseline posting rhythm in the absence of major corporate milestones or breaking political developments. With no high-profile Tesla or SpaceX announcements and limited viral cultural moments pulling extra engagement on X, his output has aligned closely with typical mid-week patterns observed in recent weeks. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around this band reflects traders’ reading of consistent platform usage rather than any sudden surge, while the slim probabilities on higher brackets underscore how quickly an unexpected news cycle could shift momentum before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$857,957Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 16-18, driven by his steady baseline posting rhythm in the absence of major corporate milestones or breaking political developments. With no high-profile Tesla or SpaceX announcements and limited viral cultural moments pulling extra engagement on X, his output has aligned closely with typical mid-week patterns observed in recent weeks. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around this band reflects traders’ reading of consistent platform usage rather than any sudden surge, while the slim probabilities on higher brackets underscore how quickly an unexpected news cycle could shift momentum before the period closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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