Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X is anchoring trader consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily output of 15–20 updates that mix platform announcements, cultural commentary, and company news. Recent elevated activity driven by xAI developments such as Grok feature rollouts and ongoing free-speech discussions has kept volume steady without pushing into higher brackets, consistent with weekend patterns that avoid major product launches or breaking events. Market-implied odds capture this predictable rhythm while acknowledging the potential for a late surge if fresh milestones emerge, though historical weekend data and current momentum favor the moderate range through the period’s close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert40-64 83%
65-89 18%
90-114 1.3%
<40 <1%
$897,043 Vol.
$897,043 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
83%
65-89
18%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 83%
65-89 18%
90-114 1.3%
<40 <1%
$897,043 Vol.
$897,043 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
<40
$345,114 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$80,446 Vol.
83%
65-89
$84,820 Vol.
18%
90-114
$109,139 Vol.
1%
115-139
$91,628 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$61,120 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$18,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X is anchoring trader consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily output of 15–20 updates that mix platform announcements, cultural commentary, and company news. Recent elevated activity driven by xAI developments such as Grok feature rollouts and ongoing free-speech discussions has kept volume steady without pushing into higher brackets, consistent with weekend patterns that avoid major product launches or breaking events. Market-implied odds capture this predictable rhythm while acknowledging the potential for a late surge if fresh milestones emerge, though historical weekend data and current momentum favor the moderate range through the period’s close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$897,043Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X is anchoring trader consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily output of 15–20 updates that mix platform announcements, cultural commentary, and company news. Recent elevated activity driven by xAI developments such as Grok feature rollouts and ongoing free-speech discussions has kept volume steady without pushing into higher brackets, consistent with weekend patterns that avoid major product launches or breaking events. Market-implied odds capture this predictable rhythm while acknowledging the potential for a late surge if fresh milestones emerge, though historical weekend data and current momentum favor the moderate range through the period’s close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$897,043Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X is anchoring trader consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily output of 15–20 updates that mix platform announcements, cultural commentary, and company news. Recent elevated activity driven by xAI developments such as Grok feature rollouts and ongoing free-speech discussions has kept volume steady without pushing into higher brackets, consistent with weekend patterns that avoid major product launches or breaking events. Market-implied odds capture this predictable rhythm while acknowledging the potential for a late surge if fresh milestones emerge, though historical weekend data and current momentum favor the moderate range through the period’s close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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