Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume from May 18-20 centers on his established high-engagement rhythm on the X platform, where the 40-64 range commands the clearest lead at 54.5% implied probability. This positioning tracks his typical output of roughly 13-21 posts per day during quieter stretches between major company updates or public statements. Recent momentum from Tesla and SpaceX developments has sustained steady activity without pushing into peak volumes associated with controversies or product launches. With the three-day window opening immediately, traders appear to favor consistent rather than outlier posting, while noting that any unexpected weekend news or direct announcements could still shift the total. Historical patterns support this measured outlook over extreme swings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert40–64 55%
65-89 25%
<40 17%
90-114 6%
$43,385 Vol.
$43,385 Vol.
<40
17%
40–64
55%
65-89
25%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40–64 55%
65-89 25%
<40 17%
90-114 6%
$43,385 Vol.
$43,385 Vol.
<40
17%
40–64
55%
65-89
25%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskTrader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume from May 18-20 centers on his established high-engagement rhythm on the X platform, where the 40-64 range commands the clearest lead at 54.5% implied probability. This positioning tracks his typical output of roughly 13-21 posts per day during quieter stretches between major company updates or public statements. Recent momentum from Tesla and SpaceX developments has sustained steady activity without pushing into peak volumes associated with controversies or product launches. With the three-day window opening immediately, traders appear to favor consistent rather than outlier posting, while noting that any unexpected weekend news or direct announcements could still shift the total. Historical patterns support this measured outlook over extreme swings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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