Australia’s commanding 74.5% implied probability stems from Delta Goodrem’s polished “Eclipse” ballad, which earned widespread praise for its soaring vocals and emotional staging during second rehearsals and the May 14 semi-final in Vienna. Traders see the entry as the clearest jury and televote favorite in a 50/50 voting system, outpacing Bulgaria’s high-energy “Bangaranga” by Dara, which sits at 20.5% on the strength of its vibrant choreography and solid mid-show placement. Ukraine, Romania, and the lower-tier acts trail sharply because their performances lacked comparable vocal impact or broad appeal, leaving little room for late momentum shifts before final results lock in.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Australia 75%
Bulgaria 20.9%
Ukraine 4.7%
Romania 2.4%
$218,942 Vol.
$218,942 Vol.
12. Mai 2026
Australia
75%
Bulgaria
21%
Ukraine
5%
Romania
2%
Denmark
1%
Norway
1%
Czechia
1%
Albania
1%
Cyprus
<1%
Malta
<1%
Australia 75%
Bulgaria 20.9%
Ukraine 4.7%
Romania 2.4%
$218,942 Vol.
$218,942 Vol.
12. Mai 2026
Australia
$45,047 Vol.
75%
Bulgaria
$16,474 Vol.
21%
Ukraine
$14,479 Vol.
5%
Romania
$18,088 Vol.
2%
Denmark
$47,569 Vol.
1%
Norway
$9,016 Vol.
1%
Czechia
$9,803 Vol.
1%
Albania
$9,119 Vol.
1%
Cyprus
$6,922 Vol.
<1%
Malta
$8,110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia’s commanding 74.5% implied probability stems from Delta Goodrem’s polished “Eclipse” ballad, which earned widespread praise for its soaring vocals and emotional staging during second rehearsals and the May 14 semi-final in Vienna. Traders see the entry as the clearest jury and televote favorite in a 50/50 voting system, outpacing Bulgaria’s high-energy “Bangaranga” by Dara, which sits at 20.5% on the strength of its vibrant choreography and solid mid-show placement. Ukraine, Romania, and the lower-tier acts trail sharply because their performances lacked comparable vocal impact or broad appeal, leaving little room for late momentum shifts before final results lock in.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Volumen
$218,942Enddatum
12. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia’s commanding 74.5% implied probability stems from Delta Goodrem’s polished “Eclipse” ballad, which earned widespread praise for its soaring vocals and emotional staging during second rehearsals and the May 14 semi-final in Vienna. Traders see the entry as the clearest jury and televote favorite in a 50/50 voting system, outpacing Bulgaria’s high-energy “Bangaranga” by Dara, which sits at 20.5% on the strength of its vibrant choreography and solid mid-show placement. Ukraine, Romania, and the lower-tier acts trail sharply because their performances lacked comparable vocal impact or broad appeal, leaving little room for late momentum shifts before final results lock in.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$218,942Enddatum
12. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Australia’s commanding 74.5% implied probability stems from Delta Goodrem’s polished “Eclipse” ballad, which earned widespread praise for its soaring vocals and emotional staging during second rehearsals and the May 14 semi-final in Vienna. Traders see the entry as the clearest jury and televote favorite in a 50/50 voting system, outpacing Bulgaria’s high-energy “Bangaranga” by Dara, which sits at 20.5% on the strength of its vibrant choreography and solid mid-show placement. Ukraine, Romania, and the lower-tier acts trail sharply because their performances lacked comparable vocal impact or broad appeal, leaving little room for late momentum shifts before final results lock in.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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