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icon for Gesamtsieger der ersten Runde in der SC Special Republican Senate Primary?
Politik·USA-Wahl

Gesamtsieger der ersten Runde in der SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

icon for Gesamtsieger der ersten Runde in der SC Special Republican Senate Primary?
Politik·USA-Wahl

Gesamtsieger der ersten Runde in der SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

50% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
50% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.South Carolina's special Republican Senate primary, triggered by Lindsey Graham's death shortly after his June primary victory, features a fragmented field including U.S. Reps. Russell Fry and Ralph Norman, plus Mark Lynch and Duke Buckner. Multiple viable contenders and limited time for consolidation have produced a balanced field where no candidate has yet established dominance through endorsements or polling. Trader consensus at even odds reflects uncertainty over whether vote splitting will force a runoff or allow one contender to clear 50 percent in the initial round. Key upcoming factors include candidate debates, fundraising reports, and any late national party signals that could consolidate support before ballots are cast.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 21, 2026, 7:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.South Carolina's special Republican Senate primary, triggered by Lindsey Graham's death shortly after his June primary victory, features a fragmented field including U.S. Reps. Russell Fry and Ralph Norman, plus Mark Lynch and Duke Buckner. Multiple viable contenders and limited time for consolidation have produced a balanced field where no candidate has yet established dominance through endorsements or polling. Trader consensus at even odds reflects uncertainty over whether vote splitting will force a runoff or allow one contender to clear 50 percent in the initial round. Key upcoming factors include candidate debates, fundraising reports, and any late national party signals that could consolidate support before ballots are cast.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 21, 2026, 7:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gesamtsieger der ersten Runde in der SC Special Republican Senate Primary?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 50% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 50¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 50%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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