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Politics·July 28 Primaries

South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

icon for South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
Politics·July 28 Primaries

South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Rhoden 20%+ 44%

Rhoden 15–20% 44%

Rhoden 10–15% 44%

Rhoden <5% 44%

Polymarket
NEU

Rhoden 20%+ 44%

Rhoden 15–20% 44%

Rhoden 10–15% 44%

Rhoden <5% 44%

Polymarket
NEU

Rhoden 20%+

$0 Vol.

44%

Rhoden 15–20%

$0 Vol.

44%

Rhoden 10–15%

$0 Vol.

44%

Rhoden 5–10%

$0 Vol.

44%

Rhoden <5%

$0 Vol.

44%

Doeden <5%

$0 Vol.

44%

Doeden 5–10%

$0 Vol.

44%

Doeden 10–15%

$0 Vol.

44%

Doeden 15–20%

$0 Vol.

44%

Doeden 20%+

$0 Vol.

44%

The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff on July 28 pits incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden against primary leader Toby Doeden after neither reached the 35% threshold needed to win outright on June 2, when Doeden took 30.6% and Rhoden 25.2%. Traders see a tight contest because both candidates must consolidate support from backers of eliminated contenders Dusty Johnson and Jon Hansen, whose combined share exceeded 44%. Regional divides, Doeden’s outsider messaging versus Rhoden’s institutional experience, and limited remaining campaign time sustain uncertainty over the final margin. Recent statements on debates and endorsements from primary also-rans could shift voter blocs in the final weeks, keeping all victory-margin brackets competitive in the eyes of the market.

The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
28. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff on July 28 pits incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden against primary leader Toby Doeden after neither reached the 35% threshold needed to win outright on June 2, when Doeden took 30.6% and Rhoden 25.2%. Traders see a tight contest because both candidates must consolidate support from backers of eliminated contenders Dusty Johnson and Jon Hansen, whose combined share exceeded 44%. Regional divides, Doeden’s outsider messaging versus Rhoden’s institutional experience, and limited remaining campaign time sustain uncertainty over the final margin. Recent statements on debates and endorsements from primary also-rans could shift voter blocs in the final weeks, keeping all victory-margin brackets competitive in the eyes of the market.

The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
28. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for July 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the South Dakota Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Dakota, such as official statewide results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State (https://sdsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Rhoden 20%+" mit 45%, gefolgt von „Rhoden 15–20%" mit 45%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 45¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" ist „Rhoden 20%+" mit 45%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Rhoden 15–20%" mit 45%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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