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icon for California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition
Wahlen·US-Wahl

California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition

icon for California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition
Wahlen·US-Wahl

California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Ja

43% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

43% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).Bipartisan legislative action in June 2026 placed the Veterans and Affordable Housing Bond Act on the November ballot after Governor Newsom, the Senate, and Assembly agreed on Senate Bill 417 authorizing an $11.25 billion general obligation bond. The measure would replenish exhausted state programs for affordable rental construction, preservation, homeownership assistance including for veterans, and permanent supportive housing to address chronic supply shortages. Trader consensus at 58% for passage reflects the measure's broad institutional backing and simple-majority threshold, tempered by typical voter caution on large state debt obligations and competing November priorities. No significant organized opposition has emerged since the deal, though final outcomes will hinge on turnout patterns and any late-cycle fiscal messaging.

Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Volumen
$2,177
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).Bipartisan legislative action in June 2026 placed the Veterans and Affordable Housing Bond Act on the November ballot after Governor Newsom, the Senate, and Assembly agreed on Senate Bill 417 authorizing an $11.25 billion general obligation bond. The measure would replenish exhausted state programs for affordable rental construction, preservation, homeownership assistance including for veterans, and permanent supportive housing to address chronic supply shortages. Trader consensus at 58% for passage reflects the measure's broad institutional backing and simple-majority threshold, tempered by typical voter caution on large state debt obligations and competing November priorities. No significant organized opposition has emerged since the deal, though final outcomes will hinge on turnout patterns and any late-cycle fiscal messaging.

Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Volumen
$2,177
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

Verwandte

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55%
Ja
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Kalifornische Rückwirkende Steuerverbots-Initiative

48%
Ja
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Kalifornische Steuer-Ausgabeprüfungs-Initiative

53%
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Kalifornien Volksabstimmung über bezahlbaren Wohnraum" mit 59%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 59¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 59% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jul 1, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition" ist „Kalifornien Volksabstimmung über bezahlbaren Wohnraum" mit 59%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 59% zuweist. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.