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icon for Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien
Politik·US-Wahl

Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien

icon for Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien
Politik·US-Wahl

Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Ja

0% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

0% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 41, which requires pre-election audits of special tax initiatives once they reach 25% of required signatures, mandates recurring state auditor reviews of new special tax programs for effectiveness and cost savings, and bars exclusion of post-2025 tax revenues from the Gann spending limit, qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot in June after sufficient signatures were verified. Heavily funded by business-backed groups including contributions exceeding $48 million tied to Sergey Brin, the measure was crafted to interact with the competing billionaire wealth tax in Proposition 40, where the higher-vote measure would prevail if both pass. Recent polling shows divided voter sentiment with roughly 35% support and 37% opposition amid broader affordability concerns, leaving the outcome closely contested as campaigns ramp up ahead of the general election.

Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Volumen
$1,067
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 41, which requires pre-election audits of special tax initiatives once they reach 25% of required signatures, mandates recurring state auditor reviews of new special tax programs for effectiveness and cost savings, and bars exclusion of post-2025 tax revenues from the Gann spending limit, qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot in June after sufficient signatures were verified. Heavily funded by business-backed groups including contributions exceeding $48 million tied to Sergey Brin, the measure was crafted to interact with the competing billionaire wealth tax in Proposition 40, where the higher-vote measure would prevail if both pass. Recent polling shows divided voter sentiment with roughly 35% support and 37% opposition amid broader affordability concerns, leaving the outcome closely contested as campaigns ramp up ahead of the general election.

Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Volumen
$1,067
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

Verwandte

icon for Kalifornische Rückwirkende Steuerverbots-Initiative

Kalifornische Rückwirkende Steuerverbots-Initiative

48%
Ja
icon for Kalifornische Vermögenssteuer besiegt gegnerische Vorschläge?

Kalifornische Vermögenssteuer besiegt gegnerische Vorschläge?

40%
Ja
icon for Kalifornische Volksabstimmung zur öffentlichen Wahlkampffinanzierung

Kalifornische Volksabstimmung zur öffentlichen Wahlkampffinanzierung

40%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Kalifornische Steuer-Ausgabeprüfungs-Initiative" mit 56%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 56¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 56% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jul 1, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien" ist „Kalifornische Steuer-Ausgabeprüfungs-Initiative" mit 56%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 56% zuweist. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.