Proposition 45, a citizen initiative backed by the California Chamber of Commerce and building industry groups, qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot in June 2026. It would amend the California Environmental Quality Act to impose statutory deadlines on environmental reviews and judicial challenges for essential projects, including most housing, transportation, water, health, and clean energy developments, while limiting alternatives analysis. A July 2026 PPIC statewide survey of likely voters found 73% support overall, with majorities across Democrats (80%), Republicans (61%), and independents (73%), reflecting broad trader consensus on passage driven by these polling results and the measure’s procedural status. No major countervailing developments have emerged since qualification to shift the implied probability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
Ja
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jul 1, 2026, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Proposition 45, a citizen initiative backed by the California Chamber of Commerce and building industry groups, qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot in June 2026. It would amend the California Environmental Quality Act to impose statutory deadlines on environmental reviews and judicial challenges for essential projects, including most housing, transportation, water, health, and clean energy developments, while limiting alternatives analysis. A July 2026 PPIC statewide survey of likely voters found 73% support overall, with majorities across Democrats (80%), Republicans (61%), and independents (73%), reflecting broad trader consensus on passage driven by these polling results and the measure’s procedural status. No major countervailing developments have emerged since qualification to shift the implied probability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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