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Politik·Primär

Michigan Demokratischer Senat Primary: Oakland County Winner

icon for Michigan Demokratischer Senat Primary: Oakland County Winner
Politik·Primär

Michigan Demokratischer Senat Primary: Oakland County Winner

NEU
Polymarket
NEU

Abdul El-Sayed

$0 Vol.

22%

Haley Stevens

$147 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.The Michigan Democratic Senate primary remains closely contested in Oakland County due to the withdrawal of state Sen. Mallory McMorrow on July 5, 2026, which consolidated support between U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed ahead of the August 4 vote. Stevens benefits from recent endorsement by retiring Sen. Gary Peters and established local ties in suburban Oakland districts, while El-Sayed draws strength from progressive networks and differing emphases on health care and foreign policy. These factors, combined with the county's mix of Democratic voters and limited recent polling specific to the area, sustain the tight trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Upcoming debates or additional endorsements could shift momentum before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
Volumen
$147
Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 21, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.The Michigan Democratic Senate primary remains closely contested in Oakland County due to the withdrawal of state Sen. Mallory McMorrow on July 5, 2026, which consolidated support between U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed ahead of the August 4 vote. Stevens benefits from recent endorsement by retiring Sen. Gary Peters and established local ties in suburban Oakland districts, while El-Sayed draws strength from progressive networks and differing emphases on health care and foreign policy. These factors, combined with the county's mix of Democratic voters and limited recent polling specific to the area, sustain the tight trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Upcoming debates or additional endorsements could shift momentum before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
Volumen
$147
Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 21, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.

Verwandte

icon for Wird Haley Stevens Wayne County bei den demokratischen Vorwahlen zum Senat in Michigan gewinnen?

Wird Haley Stevens Wayne County bei den demokratischen Vorwahlen zum Senat in Michigan gewinnen?

51%
Ja
icon for Wird Abdul El-Sayed den Washtenaw County in der demokratischen Vorwahl für den Senat von Michigan gewinnen?

Wird Abdul El-Sayed den Washtenaw County in der demokratischen Vorwahl für den Senat von Michigan gewinnen?

71%
Ja
icon for Wird Abdul El-Sayed die demokratische Vorwahl in Michigan 2026 gewinnen?

Wird Abdul El-Sayed die demokratische Vorwahl in Michigan 2026 gewinnen?

80%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Michigan Demokratischer Senat Primary: Oakland County Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Haley Stevens" mit 47%, gefolgt von „Abdul El-Sayed" mit 22%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 47¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 47% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Michigan Demokratischer Senat Primary: Oakland County Winner" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jul 21, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Michigan Demokratischer Senat Primary: Oakland County Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Michigan Demokratischer Senat Primary: Oakland County Winner" ist „Haley Stevens" mit 47%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 47% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Abdul El-Sayed" mit 22%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Michigan Demokratischer Senat Primary: Oakland County Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.