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icon for Werden die Wahlen in Israel wie geplant stattfinden?
Politik·Israel

Werden die Wahlen in Israel wie geplant stattfinden?

icon for Werden die Wahlen in Israel wie geplant stattfinden?
Politik·Israel

Werden die Wahlen in Israel wie geplant stattfinden?

Ja

96% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

96% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The scheduled October 27, 2026, Knesset election date remains fixed under Israeli law after the 25th Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17. Coalition leaders confirmed the timeline in July, rejecting earlier dissolution efforts tied to coalition strains over military conscription and other issues, marking the first such on-schedule vote since 1988. Party lists were filed by the September deadline, overseas diplomatic voting begins October 20, and recent polling continues to track bloc strengths without indicating procedural disruption. Trader consensus at 95.9% for the election occurring as planned reflects this locked-in legal and institutional path. Late shifts remain possible only in cases of unforeseen national security crises, court interventions, or extraordinary legislative reversals that alter the electoral calendar.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.

For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.

This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).

Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$9,898
Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The scheduled October 27, 2026, Knesset election date remains fixed under Israeli law after the 25th Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17. Coalition leaders confirmed the timeline in July, rejecting earlier dissolution efforts tied to coalition strains over military conscription and other issues, marking the first such on-schedule vote since 1988. Party lists were filed by the September deadline, overseas diplomatic voting begins October 20, and recent polling continues to track bloc strengths without indicating procedural disruption. Trader consensus at 95.9% for the election occurring as planned reflects this locked-in legal and institutional path. Late shifts remain possible only in cases of unforeseen national security crises, court interventions, or extraordinary legislative reversals that alter the electoral calendar.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.

For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.

This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).

Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$9,898
Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

icon for Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

44%
icon for Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

50%
icon for Wird die Gemeinsame Liste bei den Knesset-Wahlen 2026 8-9 Sitze gewinnen?

Wird die Gemeinsame Liste bei den Knesset-Wahlen 2026 8-9 Sitze gewinnen?

40%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Werden die Wahlen in Israel wie geplant stattfinden?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Wird die Wahl in Israel wie geplant stattfinden?" mit 96%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 96¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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