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icon for GPU-Mietpreise (H100) im Juli gestiegen oder gesunken?

GPU-Mietpreise (H100) im Juli gestiegen oder gesunken?

icon for GPU-Mietpreise (H100) im Juli gestiegen oder gesunken?

GPU-Mietpreise (H100) im Juli gestiegen oder gesunken?

Steigen

50% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Steigen

50% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply from the ongoing Blackwell B200 ramp, combined with broader capacity additions across hyperscalers and neocloud providers, forms the core driver pushing trader consensus toward lower H100 rental prices in July. Spot and on-demand rates have already declined 30-40% since early May 2026 as newer GPUs absorb premium workloads and H100 shifts toward mainstream inference and training. Historical patterns show H100 median pricing falling from peaks above $7 per hour in 2024-2025 to the current $2-3 range, with further compression expected as data-center buildouts mature and demand normalizes. Key near-term catalysts include continued B200 availability and any hyperscaler order adjustments that could accelerate the supply glut. Traders view these dynamics as outweighing residual enterprise demand, creating an 80% implied probability of a July decline.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.

Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
31. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 10, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply from the ongoing Blackwell B200 ramp, combined with broader capacity additions across hyperscalers and neocloud providers, forms the core driver pushing trader consensus toward lower H100 rental prices in July. Spot and on-demand rates have already declined 30-40% since early May 2026 as newer GPUs absorb premium workloads and H100 shifts toward mainstream inference and training. Historical patterns show H100 median pricing falling from peaks above $7 per hour in 2024-2025 to the current $2-3 range, with further compression expected as data-center buildouts mature and demand normalizes. Key near-term catalysts include continued B200 availability and any hyperscaler order adjustments that could accelerate the supply glut. Traders view these dynamics as outweighing residual enterprise demand, creating an 80% implied probability of a July decline.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.

Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
31. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 10, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„GPU-Mietpreise (H100) im Juli gestiegen oder gesunken?" ist ein täglich-Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler Anteile darauf kaufen und verkaufen, ob der Preis von GPU-Mietpreise höher („Up") oder niedriger („Down") als sein Eröffnungspreis über das im Titel angegebene täglich-Fenster abschließen wird. Die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit liegt bei 50% für „Steigen". Ein Preis von 50% bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Die Preise werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler auf Live-Preisbewegungen von GPU-Mietpreise reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„GPU-Mietpreise (H100) im Juli gestiegen oder gesunken?" ist ein aktiver kurzfristiger Markt auf Polymarket. Das Handelsvolumen kann sich schnell aufbauen, während das täglich-Fenster fortschreitet – steigen Sie früh ein, um die Quoten mitzugestalten.

Um auf „GPU-Mietpreise (H100) im Juli gestiegen oder gesunken?" zu handeln, entscheiden Sie, ob der Preis von GPU-Mietpreise um 12:00 Uhr ET am July 31 höher („Up") oder niedriger („Down") als um 12:00 Uhr ET am July 10 sein wird. Kaufen Sie „Up", wenn Sie glauben, der Preis wird steigen, oder „Down", wenn Sie glauben, er wird fallen. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr Ergebnis bei der Auflösung richtig, zahlt jeder Anteil $1,00 aus. Liegt es falsch, sind die Anteile $0 wert.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „GPU-Mietpreise (H100) im Juli gestiegen oder gesunken?" liegt bei 50% für „Steigen", was bedeutet, dass die Polymarket-Community derzeit eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% sieht, dass der Preis von GPU-Mietpreise über dieses täglich-Fenster steigen abschließen wird. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler auf Live-Preisdaten von GPU-Mietpreise reagieren. Über einen ganzen Tag spiegeln die Quoten die sich entwickelnde Stimmung wider, während sich die Preisbewegung des Tages entfaltet. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder handeln Sie jetzt, bevor das Fenster schließt.

Der Markt „GPU-Mietpreise (H100) im Juli gestiegen oder gesunken?" wird auf Basis eines Vergleichs des GPU-Mietpreise-Preises um 12:00 Uhr ET am July 31 gegenüber 12:00 Uhr ET am July 10 aufgelöst, unter Verwendung der Binance GPU-RENTAL-PRICES-H100/USDT 1-Minuten-Kerzenschlusspreise. Ist der Preis am July 31 höher, ist das Ergebnis „Up"; ist er niedriger, „Down"; bei Gleichheit wird 50-50 aufgelöst. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite einsehen.