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Technik·Google

Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?

icon for Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?
Technik·Google

Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?

Juni 30

Juli 31

Juni 30

Juli 31

18. Juli 79%

19. Juli 79%

Keine Veröffentlichung bis 31. Juli 74%

11. Juli 60%

Polymarket
NEU

18. Juli 79%

19. Juli 79%

Keine Veröffentlichung bis 31. Juli 74%

11. Juli 60%

Polymarket
NEU

Am oder vor dem 1. Juli

$112 Vol.

29%

2. Juli

$21 Vol.

14%

3. Juli

$51 Vol.

38%

4. Juli

$51 Vol.

42%

5. Juli

$51 Vol.

39%

6. Juli

$56 Vol.

2%

7. Juli

$56 Vol.

42%

8. Juli

$51 Vol.

21%

9. Juli

$51 Vol.

38%

10. Juli

$33 Vol.

59%

11. Juli

$56 Vol.

60%

12. Juli

$56 Vol.

22%

13. Juli

$46 Vol.

42%

14. Juli

$33 Vol.

53%

July 15

$46 Vol.

-

16. Juli

$51 Vol.

39%

17. Juli

$51 Vol.

2%

18. Juli

$56 Vol.

79%

19. Juli

$56 Vol.

79%

20. Juli

$56 Vol.

20%

21. Juli

$56 Vol.

34%

22. Juli

$56 Vol.

38%

23. Juli

$56 Vol.

2%

24. Juli

$51 Vol.

21%

July 25

$51 Vol.

39%

26. Juli

$56 Vol.

18%

27. Juli

$51 Vol.

37%

28. Juli

$56 Vol.

38%

29. Juli

$51 Vol.

40%

30. Juli

$56 Vol.

38%

31. Juli

$56 Vol.

41%

Keine Veröffentlichung bis 31. Juli

$320 Vol.

71%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's I/O 2026 keynote in mid-May positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for June general availability after shipping the lighter Flash variant immediately, yet the model remains in testing with no confirmed release by late June. This delay, amid internal validation for advanced reasoning, 2-million-token context, and "Deep Think" capabilities, has traders assigning a modest edge to no release by July 31. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, plus Google's history of iterative previews before broad rollout, creates the tight clustering around July dates. Key swing factors include successful benchmark results or enterprise feedback that could accelerate availability, while supply-chain or safety reviews could push timelines further.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,964
Enddatum
31. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's I/O 2026 keynote in mid-May positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for June general availability after shipping the lighter Flash variant immediately, yet the model remains in testing with no confirmed release by late June. This delay, amid internal validation for advanced reasoning, 2-million-token context, and "Deep Think" capabilities, has traders assigning a modest edge to no release by July 31. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, plus Google's history of iterative previews before broad rollout, creates the tight clustering around July dates. Key swing factors include successful benchmark results or enterprise feedback that could accelerate availability, while supply-chain or safety reviews could push timelines further.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,964
Enddatum
31. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 32 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Keine Veröffentlichung bis 31. Juli" mit 71%, gefolgt von „18. Juli" mit 40%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 71¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 71% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jun 26, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 32 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" ist „Keine Veröffentlichung bis 31. Juli" mit 71%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 71% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „18. Juli" mit 40%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.