Waymo's May 13 announcement expanding robotaxi service areas to over 1,400 square miles across 11 U.S. cities—including Phoenix, San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, Miami, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando—has solidified trader consensus around the 11-city outcome at 37% implied probability, as the growth emphasizes deeper coverage in existing markets rather than new launches. This follows public rollouts in four additional cities in February, bringing the total to 10 before recent operational tweaks counted an 11th. With six weeks until resolution, no regulatory approvals or official timelines signal further geographic expansion by June 30, despite earlier 2026 plans for sites like San Diego, Detroit, and Las Vegas; traders price in typical delays for self-driving safety validations and permitting, tempering 12+ odds at 15.5% amid World Cup demand preparations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert11 30%
12+ 14%
7 8.3%
10 5.8%
$162,499 Vol.
$162,499 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
≤5
1%
6
2%
7
8%
8
5%
9
5%
10
6%
11
36%
12+
14%
11 30%
12+ 14%
7 8.3%
10 5.8%
$162,499 Vol.
$162,499 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
≤5
$41,853 Vol.
1%
6
$20,099 Vol.
2%
7
$13,760 Vol.
8%
8
$14,295 Vol.
5%
9
$17,397 Vol.
5%
10
$13,659 Vol.
6%
11
$19,395 Vol.
36%
12+
$22,041 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Waymo's May 13 announcement expanding robotaxi service areas to over 1,400 square miles across 11 U.S. cities—including Phoenix, San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, Miami, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando—has solidified trader consensus around the 11-city outcome at 37% implied probability, as the growth emphasizes deeper coverage in existing markets rather than new launches. This follows public rollouts in four additional cities in February, bringing the total to 10 before recent operational tweaks counted an 11th. With six weeks until resolution, no regulatory approvals or official timelines signal further geographic expansion by June 30, despite earlier 2026 plans for sites like San Diego, Detroit, and Las Vegas; traders price in typical delays for self-driving safety validations and permitting, tempering 12+ odds at 15.5% amid World Cup demand preparations.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET
Volumen
$162,499Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Waymo's May 13 announcement expanding robotaxi service areas to over 1,400 square miles across 11 U.S. cities—including Phoenix, San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, Miami, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando—has solidified trader consensus around the 11-city outcome at 37% implied probability, as the growth emphasizes deeper coverage in existing markets rather than new launches. This follows public rollouts in four additional cities in February, bringing the total to 10 before recent operational tweaks counted an 11th. With six weeks until resolution, no regulatory approvals or official timelines signal further geographic expansion by June 30, despite earlier 2026 plans for sites like San Diego, Detroit, and Las Vegas; traders price in typical delays for self-driving safety validations and permitting, tempering 12+ odds at 15.5% amid World Cup demand preparations.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$162,499Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Waymo's May 13 announcement expanding robotaxi service areas to over 1,400 square miles across 11 U.S. cities—including Phoenix, San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta, Miami, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando—has solidified trader consensus around the 11-city outcome at 37% implied probability, as the growth emphasizes deeper coverage in existing markets rather than new launches. This follows public rollouts in four additional cities in February, bringing the total to 10 before recent operational tweaks counted an 11th. With six weeks until resolution, no regulatory approvals or official timelines signal further geographic expansion by June 30, despite earlier 2026 plans for sites like San Diego, Detroit, and Las Vegas; traders price in typical delays for self-driving safety validations and permitting, tempering 12+ odds at 15.5% amid World Cup demand preparations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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