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Technik·Claude

Claude Code Commits End of June?

icon for Claude Code Commits End of June?
Technik·Claude

Claude Code Commits End of June?

Juni 30

Juni 30

Juni 30

Juni 30

750.0k+ 39%

650.0-700.0k 20.0%

600.0-650.0k 19%

<500.0k 9%

Polymarket
NEU

750.0k+ 39%

650.0-700.0k 20.0%

600.0-650.0k 19%

<500.0k 9%

Polymarket
NEU

<500.0k

$183 Vol.

9%

500.0-550.0k

$199 Vol.

40%

550.0-600.0k

$249 Vol.

36%

600.0-650.0k

$176 Vol.

20%

650.0-700.0k

$250 Vol.

12%

700.0-750.0k

$229 Vol.

6%

750.0k+

$189 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.Traders assign nearly equal weight to Claude surpassing 750,000 code commits versus finishing between 500,000 and 550,000 by month-end, underscoring uncertainty around Anthropic’s development pace for its large language model. This tight contest stems from variable engineering velocity in AI labs, where recent internal scaling, feature integrations, and team expansions can drive higher commit volumes while typical quarter-end reviews or resource shifts pull activity lower. Competitive positioning against peers like OpenAI and Google further influences timelines, as does the balance between demonstrated capabilities in new releases and the risk of delays common in complex model iterations.

This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Volumen
$1,475
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.Traders assign nearly equal weight to Claude surpassing 750,000 code commits versus finishing between 500,000 and 550,000 by month-end, underscoring uncertainty around Anthropic’s development pace for its large language model. This tight contest stems from variable engineering velocity in AI labs, where recent internal scaling, feature integrations, and team expansions can drive higher commit volumes while typical quarter-end reviews or resource shifts pull activity lower. Competitive positioning against peers like OpenAI and Google further influences timelines, as does the balance between demonstrated capabilities in new releases and the risk of delays common in complex model iterations.

This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Volumen
$1,475
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Claude Code Commits End of June?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „750.0k+" mit 45%, gefolgt von „500.0-550.0k" mit 40%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 45¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Claude Code Commits End of June?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am May 26, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Claude Code Commits End of June?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Claude Code Commits End of June?" ist „750.0k+" mit 45%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „500.0-550.0k" mit 40%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Claude Code Commits End of June?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.