Anthropic's Claude series currently leads Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards, with variants like Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 posting scores from 59% to 65% as of mid-September 2026 on benchmarks measuring expert-level reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities. Iterative releases emphasizing advanced chain-of-thought, tool integration (web search, code execution), and adaptive reasoning have driven recent gains, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini models on this 2,500-question evaluation designed to resist saturation. Anthropic's internal use of Claude for model development further accelerates progress, though scores remain well below saturation and face potential limits from safety constraints or evaluation protocol shifts. Key catalysts through year-end include additional Opus or Fable iterations and any verified tool-augmented runs that could push the frontier higher before the December 31 resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$107,042 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
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$107,042 Vol.
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$27,477 Vol.
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$45,283 Vol.
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$28,311 Vol.
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$1,513 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic's Claude series currently leads Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards, with variants like Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 posting scores from 59% to 65% as of mid-September 2026 on benchmarks measuring expert-level reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities. Iterative releases emphasizing advanced chain-of-thought, tool integration (web search, code execution), and adaptive reasoning have driven recent gains, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini models on this 2,500-question evaluation designed to resist saturation. Anthropic's internal use of Claude for model development further accelerates progress, though scores remain well below saturation and face potential limits from safety constraints or evaluation protocol shifts. Key catalysts through year-end include additional Opus or Fable iterations and any verified tool-augmented runs that could push the frontier higher before the December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Markt eröffnet: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Volumen
$107,042Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://agi.safe.ai/Abwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic's Claude series currently leads Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards, with variants like Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 posting scores from 59% to 65% as of mid-September 2026 on benchmarks measuring expert-level reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities. Iterative releases emphasizing advanced chain-of-thought, tool integration (web search, code execution), and adaptive reasoning have driven recent gains, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini models on this 2,500-question evaluation designed to resist saturation. Anthropic's internal use of Claude for model development further accelerates progress, though scores remain well below saturation and face potential limits from safety constraints or evaluation protocol shifts. Key catalysts through year-end include additional Opus or Fable iterations and any verified tool-augmented runs that could push the frontier higher before the December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$107,042Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://agi.safe.ai/Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's Claude series currently leads Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards, with variants like Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 posting scores from 59% to 65% as of mid-September 2026 on benchmarks measuring expert-level reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities. Iterative releases emphasizing advanced chain-of-thought, tool integration (web search, code execution), and adaptive reasoning have driven recent gains, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra and Google's Gemini models on this 2,500-question evaluation designed to resist saturation. Anthropic's internal use of Claude for model development further accelerates progress, though scores remain well below saturation and face potential limits from safety constraints or evaluation protocol shifts. Key catalysts through year-end include additional Opus or Fable iterations and any verified tool-augmented runs that could push the frontier higher before the December 31 resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird das höchste Ergebnis, das bei Humanity’s Last Exam im Jahr 2026 erzielt wird, 60 % oder mehr betragen?
52%
Ja
Wird die höchste Punktzahl, die ein OpenAI-Modell bei Humanity’s Last Exam im Jahr 2026 erreicht, 55 % oder höher sein?
80%
Ja
Wird die höchste von einem Meta-Modell erreichte Punktzahl bei Humanity’s Last Exam im Jahr 2026 55 % oder mehr betragen?
33%
Ja
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