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icon for Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 3. August?

Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 3. August?

icon for Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 3. August?

Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 3. August?

Aug. 1

Aug. 2

Aug. 3

Aug. 1

Aug. 2

Aug. 3

100-101°F 42%

98-99°F 25%

102-103°F 22%

104-105°F 8%

Polymarket
NEU

100-101°F 42%

98-99°F 25%

102-103°F 22%

104-105°F 8%

Polymarket
NEU

91°F oder darunter

$161 Vol.

<1%

92–93°F

$40 Vol.

1%

94-95°F

$83 Vol.

1%

96-97°F

$157 Vol.

5%

98-99°F

$371 Vol.

25%

100-101°F

$436 Vol.

42%

102-103°F

$133 Vol.

22%

104-105°F

$94 Vol.

8%

106-107°F

$79 Vol.

3%

108-109°F

$106 Vol.

1%

110°F oder höher

$406 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 3 point to sunny, hot conditions with a daytime high near 100–101°F, establishing the primary driver behind the 43.5% market-implied odds for that range. Persistent high pressure and a regional heat dome support minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average near 98°F but frequently reach the low 100s. Recent model consensus from NWS and local offices shows little disagreement on steering patterns or moisture return, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 98–103°F band while capping upside risk above 104°F at under 12% combined. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could refine these values ahead of the observation period.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,066
Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 3 point to sunny, hot conditions with a daytime high near 100–101°F, establishing the primary driver behind the 43.5% market-implied odds for that range. Persistent high pressure and a regional heat dome support minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average near 98°F but frequently reach the low 100s. Recent model consensus from NWS and local offices shows little disagreement on steering patterns or moisture return, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 98–103°F band while capping upside risk above 104°F at under 12% combined. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could refine these values ahead of the observation period.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,066
Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Verwandte

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Wird die höchste Temperatur in Austin am 2. August zwischen 98-99°F liegen?

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Ja
icon for Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Austin am 1. August zwischen 94-95°F liegen?

Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Austin am 1. August zwischen 94-95°F liegen?

100%
Ja
icon for Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Los Angeles am 3. August zwischen 78-79°F liegen?

Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Los Angeles am 3. August zwischen 78-79°F liegen?

43%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 3. August?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „100-101°F" mit 42%, gefolgt von „98-99°F" mit 25%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 42¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 42% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 3. August?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 1, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 3. August?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 3. August?" ist „100-101°F" mit 42%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 42% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „98-99°F" mit 25%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 3. August?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.