Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and other agencies points to a humid summer pattern with daytime highs near 33°C in Beijing on August 3, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 32–34°C. A relatively mild June–July period, with average temperatures 1.6°C below long-term norms and limited heat days, has kept traders wary of rapid warming, while ongoing thundershower potential and southerly flow introduce variability in afternoon maxima. Urban heat island effects and typical August climatology (historical highs near 31–32°C) provide baseline context, yet short-term model runs show sensitivity to precise steering patterns and moisture levels that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Forecasters anticipate updated guidance within 48 hours that may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 3. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 3. August?
34°C 34%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
35°C 9%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
29°C oder niedriger
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
21%
33°C
26%
34°C
34%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C oder höher
<1%
34°C 34%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
35°C 9%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
29°C oder niedriger
$411 Vol.
4%
30°C
$29 Vol.
3%
31°C
$57 Vol.
7%
32°C
$34 Vol.
21%
33°C
$192 Vol.
26%
34°C
$48 Vol.
34%
35°C
$509 Vol.
9%
36°C
$303 Vol.
3%
37°C
$223 Vol.
2%
38°C
$10 Vol.
2%
39°C oder höher
$21 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and other agencies points to a humid summer pattern with daytime highs near 33°C in Beijing on August 3, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 32–34°C. A relatively mild June–July period, with average temperatures 1.6°C below long-term norms and limited heat days, has kept traders wary of rapid warming, while ongoing thundershower potential and southerly flow introduce variability in afternoon maxima. Urban heat island effects and typical August climatology (historical highs near 31–32°C) provide baseline context, yet short-term model runs show sensitivity to precise steering patterns and moisture levels that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Forecasters anticipate updated guidance within 48 hours that may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$1,835Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and other agencies points to a humid summer pattern with daytime highs near 33°C in Beijing on August 3, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 32–34°C. A relatively mild June–July period, with average temperatures 1.6°C below long-term norms and limited heat days, has kept traders wary of rapid warming, while ongoing thundershower potential and southerly flow introduce variability in afternoon maxima. Urban heat island effects and typical August climatology (historical highs near 31–32°C) provide baseline context, yet short-term model runs show sensitivity to precise steering patterns and moisture levels that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Forecasters anticipate updated guidance within 48 hours that may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,835Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and other agencies points to a humid summer pattern with daytime highs near 33°C in Beijing on August 3, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 32–34°C. A relatively mild June–July period, with average temperatures 1.6°C below long-term norms and limited heat days, has kept traders wary of rapid warming, while ongoing thundershower potential and southerly flow introduce variability in afternoon maxima. Urban heat island effects and typical August climatology (historical highs near 31–32°C) provide baseline context, yet short-term model runs show sensitivity to precise steering patterns and moisture levels that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Forecasters anticipate updated guidance within 48 hours that may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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