Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 24–25°C in Busan on October 5 under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds, aligning with the market's leading probabilities for those outcomes. Stable high pressure and typical early-October climatology—average highs around 23°C—support this range, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting afternoon warming. The notable 24.5% implied probability for 29°C or higher reflects residual model uncertainty in steering patterns or localized heating, though current guidance shows little support for such extremes. Traders will monitor updated runs from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration for any shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.