High pressure building over southern England is the main driver pushing London’s maximum temperature on August 3 toward the low 30s °C, with Met Office and BBC forecasts indicating 28–31 °C under sunny intervals and light easterly winds. Recent model runs show warm air advection from the continent combined with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions, consistent with the above-average summer temperatures already recorded in 2026. Small differences in afternoon cloud development or exact wind direction between ensemble members account for the tight market split between 30 °C and 31 °C, while climatological August averages near 22 °C highlight the anomalous warmth. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will be the next key data points before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 3. August?
30°C 37%
31°C 32%
29°C 15%
32°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
15%
30°C
37%
31°C
32%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 37%
31°C 32%
29°C 15%
32°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
15%
30°C
37%
31°C
32%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...High pressure building over southern England is the main driver pushing London’s maximum temperature on August 3 toward the low 30s °C, with Met Office and BBC forecasts indicating 28–31 °C under sunny intervals and light easterly winds. Recent model runs show warm air advection from the continent combined with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions, consistent with the above-average summer temperatures already recorded in 2026. Small differences in afternoon cloud development or exact wind direction between ensemble members account for the tight market split between 30 °C and 31 °C, while climatological August averages near 22 °C highlight the anomalous warmth. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will be the next key data points before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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