Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italian meteorological services point to maximum temperatures in Milan around 33–36°C on August 4, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting toward 34°C or below. A persistent subtropical anticyclone continues advecting warm air masses northward, sustaining elevated readings across the Po Valley following June's record warmth for western Europe. Ensemble models show limited spread for this short-range period, though slight cooling from Atlantic influences or localized thunderstorms could cap peaks below 35°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the current anomaly, with traders monitoring the next high-resolution model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 4. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 4. August?
34°C oder darunter 44%
35°C 30%
36°C 25%
37°C 5%
NEU
NEU
4. Aug. 2026
34°C oder darunter
44%
35°C
30%
36°C
25%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C oder höher
<1%
34°C oder darunter 44%
35°C 30%
36°C 25%
37°C 5%
NEU
NEU
4. Aug. 2026
34°C oder darunter
$175 Vol.
44%
35°C
$54 Vol.
30%
36°C
$85 Vol.
25%
37°C
$22 Vol.
5%
38°C
$33 Vol.
2%
39°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$40 Vol.
1%
41°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
44°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italian meteorological services point to maximum temperatures in Milan around 33–36°C on August 4, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting toward 34°C or below. A persistent subtropical anticyclone continues advecting warm air masses northward, sustaining elevated readings across the Po Valley following June's record warmth for western Europe. Ensemble models show limited spread for this short-range period, though slight cooling from Atlantic influences or localized thunderstorms could cap peaks below 35°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the current anomaly, with traders monitoring the next high-resolution model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$489Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italian meteorological services point to maximum temperatures in Milan around 33–36°C on August 4, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting toward 34°C or below. A persistent subtropical anticyclone continues advecting warm air masses northward, sustaining elevated readings across the Po Valley following June's record warmth for western Europe. Ensemble models show limited spread for this short-range period, though slight cooling from Atlantic influences or localized thunderstorms could cap peaks below 35°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the current anomaly, with traders monitoring the next high-resolution model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$489Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italian meteorological services point to maximum temperatures in Milan around 33–36°C on August 4, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting toward 34°C or below. A persistent subtropical anticyclone continues advecting warm air masses northward, sustaining elevated readings across the Po Valley following June's record warmth for western Europe. Ensemble models show limited spread for this short-range period, though slight cooling from Atlantic influences or localized thunderstorms could cap peaks below 35°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the current anomaly, with traders monitoring the next high-resolution model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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