Latest high-resolution forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office converge on a 33–34°C peak for Milan on July 3, driving the near-even 37.5% and 35.5% market shares for those bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean favors southerly flow that advects warmer air masses northward across the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds allow strong daytime insolation and limited mixing. Urban heat-island effects in central Milan can add 1–2°C locally compared with rural stations. Minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage create the tight clustering around 32–34°C; updated runs from Arpa Lombardia or the next ECMWF cycle will likely refine the precise maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on July 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 3?
32°C 47%
33°C 28%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
NEU
$16,374 Vol.
NEU
$16,374 Vol.
3. Juli 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
18%
32°C
47%
33°C
28%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
33°C 28%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
NEU
$16,374 Vol.
NEU
$16,374 Vol.
3. Juli 2026
28°C or below
$561 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$778 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,428 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,961 Vol.
18%
32°C
$2,452 Vol.
47%
33°C
$3,809 Vol.
28%
34°C
$2,146 Vol.
10%
35°C
$915 Vol.
1%
36°C
$506 Vol.
1%
37°C
$809 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,021 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office converge on a 33–34°C peak for Milan on July 3, driving the near-even 37.5% and 35.5% market shares for those bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean favors southerly flow that advects warmer air masses northward across the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds allow strong daytime insolation and limited mixing. Urban heat-island effects in central Milan can add 1–2°C locally compared with rural stations. Minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage create the tight clustering around 32–34°C; updated runs from Arpa Lombardia or the next ECMWF cycle will likely refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$16,374Enddatum
3. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office converge on a 33–34°C peak for Milan on July 3, driving the near-even 37.5% and 35.5% market shares for those bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean favors southerly flow that advects warmer air masses northward across the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds allow strong daytime insolation and limited mixing. Urban heat-island effects in central Milan can add 1–2°C locally compared with rural stations. Minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage create the tight clustering around 32–34°C; updated runs from Arpa Lombardia or the next ECMWF cycle will likely refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,374Enddatum
3. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office converge on a 33–34°C peak for Milan on July 3, driving the near-even 37.5% and 35.5% market shares for those bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean favors southerly flow that advects warmer air masses northward across the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds allow strong daytime insolation and limited mixing. Urban heat-island effects in central Milan can add 1–2°C locally compared with rural stations. Minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage create the tight clustering around 32–34°C; updated runs from Arpa Lombardia or the next ECMWF cycle will likely refine the precise maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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