Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate project a high of 34–35 °C in Munich on August 3 under sunny skies and light winds within a broader warm spell. This outlook, supported by high-pressure subsidence and southerly flow, drives the market’s close split between 35 °C (36 %) and 34 °C (27.5 %). Ensemble spreads in models such as ECMWF and ICON introduce modest uncertainty around peak timing and local urban heating effects, while historical August maxima near 30 °C underscore the elevated but plausible range. Updated short-range runs and official DWD guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official station measurement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 3. August?
35°C 36%
34°C 28%
36°C 19%
33°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
9%
34°C
28%
35°C
36%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
6%
35°C 36%
34°C 28%
36°C 19%
33°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
9%
34°C
28%
35°C
36%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate project a high of 34–35 °C in Munich on August 3 under sunny skies and light winds within a broader warm spell. This outlook, supported by high-pressure subsidence and southerly flow, drives the market’s close split between 35 °C (36 %) and 34 °C (27.5 %). Ensemble spreads in models such as ECMWF and ICON introduce modest uncertainty around peak timing and local urban heating effects, while historical August maxima near 30 °C underscore the elevated but plausible range. Updated short-range runs and official DWD guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official station measurement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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