Current forecasts from regional models and agencies indicate Tel Aviv highs near 32–34°C on August 3 amid typical late-summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures, positioning 34°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 53.5%. Trader consensus assigns lower weight to 33°C or 35°C given ensemble agreement on minimal deviation from climatological norms of 31–32°C, while probabilities below 32°C or above 36°C remain minimal due to limited variability in short-range guidance. Updated runs expected within 48 hours could shift odds if steering flows or subsidence strengthen.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 3. August?
34°C 54%
33°C 30%
35°C 17%
31°C or below 2%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
30%
34°C
54%
35°C
17%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 54%
33°C 30%
35°C 17%
31°C or below 2%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
30%
34°C
54%
35°C
17%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models and agencies indicate Tel Aviv highs near 32–34°C on August 3 amid typical late-summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures, positioning 34°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 53.5%. Trader consensus assigns lower weight to 33°C or 35°C given ensemble agreement on minimal deviation from climatological norms of 31–32°C, while probabilities below 32°C or above 36°C remain minimal due to limited variability in short-range guidance. Updated runs expected within 48 hours could shift odds if steering flows or subsidence strengthen.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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