Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places Wuhan's August 3 maximum near 36–37 °C, with implied probabilities reflecting modest uncertainty in the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and Yangtze valley moisture advection can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C, pushing outcomes toward 35 °C if convection develops earlier or 38 °C under clearer, drier conditions. Historical early-August baselines average 32–34 °C, so current trader positioning embeds a modest heat anomaly while acknowledging typical short-range model spread and potential for rapid revision ahead of the event.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 3. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 3. August?
36°C 34%
37°C 32%
38°C 23%
35°C 11%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
31°C oder darunter
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
5%
35°C
11%
36°C
34%
37°C
32%
38°C
23%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C oder höher
2%
36°C 34%
37°C 32%
38°C 23%
35°C 11%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
31°C oder darunter
$56 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$65 Vol.
3%
33°C
$34 Vol.
5%
34°C
$13 Vol.
5%
35°C
$9 Vol.
11%
36°C
$36 Vol.
34%
37°C
$231 Vol.
32%
38°C
$186 Vol.
23%
39°C
$30 Vol.
5%
40°C
$85 Vol.
2%
41°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places Wuhan's August 3 maximum near 36–37 °C, with implied probabilities reflecting modest uncertainty in the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and Yangtze valley moisture advection can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C, pushing outcomes toward 35 °C if convection develops earlier or 38 °C under clearer, drier conditions. Historical early-August baselines average 32–34 °C, so current trader positioning embeds a modest heat anomaly while acknowledging typical short-range model spread and potential for rapid revision ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$755Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places Wuhan's August 3 maximum near 36–37 °C, with implied probabilities reflecting modest uncertainty in the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and Yangtze valley moisture advection can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C, pushing outcomes toward 35 °C if convection develops earlier or 38 °C under clearer, drier conditions. Historical early-August baselines average 32–34 °C, so current trader positioning embeds a modest heat anomaly while acknowledging typical short-range model spread and potential for rapid revision ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$755Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places Wuhan's August 3 maximum near 36–37 °C, with implied probabilities reflecting modest uncertainty in the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and Yangtze valley moisture advection can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C, pushing outcomes toward 35 °C if convection develops earlier or 38 °C under clearer, drier conditions. Historical early-August baselines average 32–34 °C, so current trader positioning embeds a modest heat anomaly while acknowledging typical short-range model spread and potential for rapid revision ahead of the event.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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