The @khamenei_ir account's established low-volume pattern, with only two posts recorded through mid-August in the resolution window, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for fewer than five total outputs. This reflects Iran's post-Khamenei institutional transition, where official communications favor infrequent, tightly controlled releases over frequent engagement. Primary sources confirm the account's historical rhythm prioritizes select statements on core issues such as foreign policy and domestic stability. A major escalation in regional tensions, an unscheduled high-level announcement, or a shift in transition dynamics could increase activity and narrow the lead, though no such catalysts have materialized in the current period.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKhamenei # posts 11. August - 18. August 2026?
Khamenei # posts 11. August - 18. August 2026?
<5 96.9%
5-9 3.9%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$16,644 Vol.
$16,644 Vol.
18. Aug. 2026
<5
97%
5-9
4%
10-14
1%
15-19
<1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 96.9%
5-9 3.9%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$16,644 Vol.
$16,644 Vol.
18. Aug. 2026
<5
$5,170 Vol.
97%
5-9
$2,833 Vol.
4%
10-14
$1,282 Vol.
1%
15-19
$1,038 Vol.
<1%
20-24
$991 Vol.
<1%
25-29
$1,465 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$1,383 Vol.
<1%
35-39
$440 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$321 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$358 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$406 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$406 Vol.
<1%
60+
$551 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account's established low-volume pattern, with only two posts recorded through mid-August in the resolution window, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for fewer than five total outputs. This reflects Iran's post-Khamenei institutional transition, where official communications favor infrequent, tightly controlled releases over frequent engagement. Primary sources confirm the account's historical rhythm prioritizes select statements on core issues such as foreign policy and domestic stability. A major escalation in regional tensions, an unscheduled high-level announcement, or a shift in transition dynamics could increase activity and narrow the lead, though no such catalysts have materialized in the current period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$16,644Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account's established low-volume pattern, with only two posts recorded through mid-August in the resolution window, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for fewer than five total outputs. This reflects Iran's post-Khamenei institutional transition, where official communications favor infrequent, tightly controlled releases over frequent engagement. Primary sources confirm the account's historical rhythm prioritizes select statements on core issues such as foreign policy and domestic stability. A major escalation in regional tensions, an unscheduled high-level announcement, or a shift in transition dynamics could increase activity and narrow the lead, though no such catalysts have materialized in the current period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$16,644Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The @khamenei_ir account's established low-volume pattern, with only two posts recorded through mid-August in the resolution window, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for fewer than five total outputs. This reflects Iran's post-Khamenei institutional transition, where official communications favor infrequent, tightly controlled releases over frequent engagement. Primary sources confirm the account's historical rhythm prioritizes select statements on core issues such as foreign policy and domestic stability. A major escalation in regional tensions, an unscheduled high-level announcement, or a shift in transition dynamics could increase activity and narrow the lead, though no such catalysts have materialized in the current period.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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