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icon for NYC Bürgermeister # Beiträge 11. August - 18. August 2026?

NYC Bürgermeister # Beiträge 11. August - 18. August 2026?

icon for NYC Bürgermeister # Beiträge 11. August - 18. August 2026?

NYC Bürgermeister # Beiträge 11. August - 18. August 2026?

40-59 47%

20-39 20%

60-79 12.3%

180-199 <1%

Polymarket
NEU

40-59 47%

20-39 20%

60-79 12.3%

180-199 <1%

Polymarket
NEU

<20

$195 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$979 Vol.

31%

40-59

$527 Vol.

47%

60-79

$425 Vol.

15%

80-99

$245 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$245 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$579 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$245 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$245 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$421 Vol.

1%

200+

$421 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani’s @NYCMayor account has sustained a steady pace of roughly seven to ten posts per day since taking office in January 2026, centering on policy updates, constituent outreach, and city announcements. This baseline keeps the 20-39 and 40-59 ranges closely matched in trader consensus for the August 11-18 window. Recent developments, including a heat-wave response roundtable and Bronx site visits, illustrate how scheduled events and emergencies can lift volume, while the August 6-7 reports of a City Hall-linked bot network amplifying the mayor’s content introduce potential scrutiny that may alter posting behavior. No major fixed calendar events dominate the immediate period, leaving room for daily developments to determine whether totals settle in the lower or upper of the two leading buckets.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$4,527
Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani’s @NYCMayor account has sustained a steady pace of roughly seven to ten posts per day since taking office in January 2026, centering on policy updates, constituent outreach, and city announcements. This baseline keeps the 20-39 and 40-59 ranges closely matched in trader consensus for the August 11-18 window. Recent developments, including a heat-wave response roundtable and Bronx site visits, illustrate how scheduled events and emergencies can lift volume, while the August 6-7 reports of a City Hall-linked bot network amplifying the mayor’s content introduce potential scrutiny that may alter posting behavior. No major fixed calendar events dominate the immediate period, leaving room for daily developments to determine whether totals settle in the lower or upper of the two leading buckets.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$4,527
Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„NYC Bürgermeister # Beiträge 11. August - 18. August 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „40-59" mit 47%, gefolgt von „20-39" mit 31%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 47¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 47% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„NYC Bürgermeister # Beiträge 11. August - 18. August 2026?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 8, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „NYC Bürgermeister # Beiträge 11. August - 18. August 2026?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „NYC Bürgermeister # Beiträge 11. August - 18. August 2026?" ist „40-59" mit 47%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 47% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „20-39" mit 31%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „NYC Bürgermeister # Beiträge 11. August - 18. August 2026?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.