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Finanzen·KPIs

Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China Umsatzmix?

icon for Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China Umsatzmix?
Finanzen·KPIs

Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China Umsatzmix?

Juli 29

Juli 29

Juli 29

Juli 29

30%-34% 38%

34%-38% 38%

<30% 0

38%-42% 0

Polymarket
NEU

30%-34% 38%

34%-38% 38%

<30% 0

38%-42% 0

Polymarket
NEU

<30%

$120 Vol.

39%

30%-34%

$23 Vol.

38%

34%-38%

$22 Vol.

38%

38%-42%

$20 Vol.

38%

Über 42%

$20 Vol.

38%

This market will resolve according to Lam Research's China revenue mix for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Lam Research’s fiscal Q4 2026 China revenue share faces balanced market-implied odds across narrow percentage buckets, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the July 29 earnings release. Management guided for a sequential decline in China’s contribution, citing stronger spending by global multinationals in Korea and Taiwan outpacing regional demand amid ongoing U.S. export controls on advanced semiconductor equipment. Recent quarters showed China at 34-35% of revenue, supported by memory and logic capacity builds, yet competitive dynamics around wafer fab equipment allocation and margin pressures from restricted high-end sales continue to weigh on the exact mix. Traders are monitoring AI-driven WFE trends and any last-minute order shifts that could swing the outcome within the contested ranges.

This market will resolve according to Lam Research's China revenue mix for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volumen
$205
Enddatum
29. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 18, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Lam Research's China revenue mix for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to Lam Research's China revenue mix for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Lam Research’s fiscal Q4 2026 China revenue share faces balanced market-implied odds across narrow percentage buckets, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the July 29 earnings release. Management guided for a sequential decline in China’s contribution, citing stronger spending by global multinationals in Korea and Taiwan outpacing regional demand amid ongoing U.S. export controls on advanced semiconductor equipment. Recent quarters showed China at 34-35% of revenue, supported by memory and logic capacity builds, yet competitive dynamics around wafer fab equipment allocation and margin pressures from restricted high-end sales continue to weigh on the exact mix. Traders are monitoring AI-driven WFE trends and any last-minute order shifts that could swing the outcome within the contested ranges.

This market will resolve according to Lam Research's China revenue mix for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volumen
$205
Enddatum
29. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 18, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Lam Research's China revenue mix for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China Umsatzmix?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „<30%" mit 40%, gefolgt von „30%-34%" mit 38%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 40¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 40% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China Umsatzmix?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jul 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China Umsatzmix?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China Umsatzmix?" ist „<30%" mit 40%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 40% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „30%-34%" mit 38%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China Umsatzmix?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.