Hong Kong’s summer monsoon conditions and persistently high humidity are the dominant factors capping overnight radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 26–28°C for July 10, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory’s normal-to-above-normal seasonal outlook and July climatology. Model consensus shows light winds and variable cloud cover that typically prevent sharp drops, with recent runs indicating only modest spread in the 25–29°C window. Slight differences among the tightly bunched leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as nocturnal cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, or any weak disturbance that could enhance or suppress cooling by 1–2°C. No major typhoon signals or abrupt pattern shifts appear in the short-term guidance, keeping trader focus on these incremental meteorological variables ahead of the next model updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 10. Juli?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 10. Juli?
26°C 94.0%
25°C 3.9%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEU
$53,712 Vol.
NEU
$53,712 Vol.
10. Juli 2026
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
94%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 94.0%
25°C 3.9%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEU
$53,712 Vol.
NEU
$53,712 Vol.
10. Juli 2026
21°C oder darunter
$1,588 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,524 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,073 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,568 Vol.
1%
25°C
$4,032 Vol.
4%
26°C
$6,054 Vol.
94%
27°C
$8,094 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$20,935 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,138 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,849 Vol.
<1%
31°C oder höher
$973 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s summer monsoon conditions and persistently high humidity are the dominant factors capping overnight radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 26–28°C for July 10, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory’s normal-to-above-normal seasonal outlook and July climatology. Model consensus shows light winds and variable cloud cover that typically prevent sharp drops, with recent runs indicating only modest spread in the 25–29°C window. Slight differences among the tightly bunched leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as nocturnal cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, or any weak disturbance that could enhance or suppress cooling by 1–2°C. No major typhoon signals or abrupt pattern shifts appear in the short-term guidance, keeping trader focus on these incremental meteorological variables ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$53,712Enddatum
10. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s summer monsoon conditions and persistently high humidity are the dominant factors capping overnight radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 26–28°C for July 10, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory’s normal-to-above-normal seasonal outlook and July climatology. Model consensus shows light winds and variable cloud cover that typically prevent sharp drops, with recent runs indicating only modest spread in the 25–29°C window. Slight differences among the tightly bunched leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as nocturnal cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, or any weak disturbance that could enhance or suppress cooling by 1–2°C. No major typhoon signals or abrupt pattern shifts appear in the short-term guidance, keeping trader focus on these incremental meteorological variables ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$53,712Enddatum
10. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong’s summer monsoon conditions and persistently high humidity are the dominant factors capping overnight radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 26–28°C for July 10, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory’s normal-to-above-normal seasonal outlook and July climatology. Model consensus shows light winds and variable cloud cover that typically prevent sharp drops, with recent runs indicating only modest spread in the 25–29°C window. Slight differences among the tightly bunched leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as nocturnal cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, or any weak disturbance that could enhance or suppress cooling by 1–2°C. No major typhoon signals or abrupt pattern shifts appear in the short-term guidance, keeping trader focus on these incremental meteorological variables ahead of the next model updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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