Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show Sao Paulo under stable winter high pressure on July 9, supporting afternoon highs of 22–24 °C at official stations such as Guarulhos, consistent with the market’s tight 35.5 % clustering on 23 °C and 24 °C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, surface insolation under mostly clear skies, and any late-day thin stratiform cloud that could suppress the peak by 1 °C. With July climatology centering near 22 °C and no strong cold fronts expected, small revisions in model soundings or observed wind shifts will determine whether the maximum settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range. Updated runs ahead of the evening observation window remain the next market-moving inputs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 9. Juli?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,628 Vol.
$82,628 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,628 Vol.
$82,628 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 7, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show Sao Paulo under stable winter high pressure on July 9, supporting afternoon highs of 22–24 °C at official stations such as Guarulhos, consistent with the market’s tight 35.5 % clustering on 23 °C and 24 °C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, surface insolation under mostly clear skies, and any late-day thin stratiform cloud that could suppress the peak by 1 °C. With July climatology centering near 22 °C and no strong cold fronts expected, small revisions in model soundings or observed wind shifts will determine whether the maximum settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range. Updated runs ahead of the evening observation window remain the next market-moving inputs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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