Traders see closely matched odds around 25–28°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on July 16 because mid-July climatology features high humidity and typical overnight lows near 26–27°C, with limited variation expected absent major weather shifts. Recent model runs show scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could modestly suppress nighttime temperatures toward 25°C or allow clearer skies to hold readings near 27–28°C. Steering flow from the subtropical ridge and any distant tropical activity remain key variables that could alter radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. With resolution just two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities reflects ongoing uncertainty in local forecast guidance and the modest historical day-to-day fluctuation in Hong Kong summer minima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 16. Juli?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 16. Juli?
27°C 39%
26°C 37%
25°C 15%
28°C 10%
NEU
$13,143 Vol.
NEU
$13,143 Vol.
16. Juli 2026
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
15%
26°C
37%
27°C
39%
28°C
10%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 39%
26°C 37%
25°C 15%
28°C 10%
NEU
$13,143 Vol.
NEU
$13,143 Vol.
16. Juli 2026
22°C oder darunter
$1,754 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$234 Vol.
1%
24°C
$348 Vol.
4%
25°C
$185 Vol.
15%
26°C
$3,158 Vol.
37%
27°C
$4,304 Vol.
39%
28°C
$321 Vol.
10%
29°C
$389 Vol.
1%
30°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
32°C oder höher
$1,851 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see closely matched odds around 25–28°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on July 16 because mid-July climatology features high humidity and typical overnight lows near 26–27°C, with limited variation expected absent major weather shifts. Recent model runs show scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could modestly suppress nighttime temperatures toward 25°C or allow clearer skies to hold readings near 27–28°C. Steering flow from the subtropical ridge and any distant tropical activity remain key variables that could alter radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. With resolution just two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities reflects ongoing uncertainty in local forecast guidance and the modest historical day-to-day fluctuation in Hong Kong summer minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$13,143Enddatum
16. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see closely matched odds around 25–28°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on July 16 because mid-July climatology features high humidity and typical overnight lows near 26–27°C, with limited variation expected absent major weather shifts. Recent model runs show scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could modestly suppress nighttime temperatures toward 25°C or allow clearer skies to hold readings near 27–28°C. Steering flow from the subtropical ridge and any distant tropical activity remain key variables that could alter radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. With resolution just two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities reflects ongoing uncertainty in local forecast guidance and the modest historical day-to-day fluctuation in Hong Kong summer minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,143Enddatum
16. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched odds around 25–28°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on July 16 because mid-July climatology features high humidity and typical overnight lows near 26–27°C, with limited variation expected absent major weather shifts. Recent model runs show scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could modestly suppress nighttime temperatures toward 25°C or allow clearer skies to hold readings near 27–28°C. Steering flow from the subtropical ridge and any distant tropical activity remain key variables that could alter radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. With resolution just two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities reflects ongoing uncertainty in local forecast guidance and the modest historical day-to-day fluctuation in Hong Kong summer minima.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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