Recent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 16. Juli?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 16. Juli?
23°C 40%
24°C 39%
22°C 13%
25°C 9%
NEU
NEU
16. Juli 2026
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
40%
24°C
39%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 40%
24°C 39%
22°C 13%
25°C 9%
NEU
NEU
16. Juli 2026
19°C oder darunter
$820 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$212 Vol.
2%
21°C
$38 Vol.
5%
22°C
$37 Vol.
13%
23°C
$3,342 Vol.
40%
24°C
$131 Vol.
39%
25°C
$56 Vol.
9%
26°C
$46 Vol.
3%
27°C
$222 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$442 Vol.
<1%
29°C oder höher
$397 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$5,744Enddatum
16. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,744Enddatum
16. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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