Forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate Miami's overnight low on June 26 will most likely fall in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 80–83°F. Persistent summer trade winds and Atlantic moisture maintain elevated humidity that limits radiational cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer that anchors minimums above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show limited overnight cloud cover and only isolated showers, reducing the chance of sharper drops into the mid-70s. A possible tropical moisture surge late on the 25th could add a degree or two of warmth, tightening the distribution between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins while keeping sub-76°F outcomes secondary. Updated National Weather Service guidance tonight will further refine trader positioning ahead of the daily minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 26. Juni?
80-81°F 88.9%
78-79°F 7.7%
76-77°F 2.6%
72-73°F <1%
$16,068 Vol.
$16,068 Vol.
71°F oder weniger
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
89%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F oder höher
<1%
80-81°F 88.9%
78-79°F 7.7%
76-77°F 2.6%
72-73°F <1%
$16,068 Vol.
$16,068 Vol.
71°F oder weniger
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
89%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate Miami's overnight low on June 26 will most likely fall in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 80–83°F. Persistent summer trade winds and Atlantic moisture maintain elevated humidity that limits radiational cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer that anchors minimums above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show limited overnight cloud cover and only isolated showers, reducing the chance of sharper drops into the mid-70s. A possible tropical moisture surge late on the 25th could add a degree or two of warmth, tightening the distribution between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins while keeping sub-76°F outcomes secondary. Updated National Weather Service guidance tonight will further refine trader positioning ahead of the daily minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen