Official observations from Météo-France at the Le Bourget resolution station recorded a minimum of exactly 5°C on May 15, locking in the market’s 100% consensus for that outcome. A cool northerly flow combined with persistent cloud cover and light showers suppressed both daytime heating and nighttime radiational cooling, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average low of 9–10°C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS had clustered tightly around 5°C in the final 48 hours, reflecting the stable synoptic pattern. Only an unexpected clearing of skies or a sharp shift in wind direction overnight could have produced a lower reading, but neither materialized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 15. Mai?
5°C 100.0%
-2°C oder darunter <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$17,478 Vol.
$17,478 Vol.
-2°C oder darunter
Nein
-1°C
Nein
0°C
Nein
1°C
Nein
2°C
Nein
3°C
Nein
4°C
Nein
5°C
Ja
6°C
Nein
7°C
Nein
8°C oder höher
Nein
5°C 100.0%
-2°C oder darunter <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$17,478 Vol.
$17,478 Vol.
-2°C oder darunter
Nein
-1°C
Nein
0°C
Nein
1°C
Nein
2°C
Nein
3°C
Nein
4°C
Nein
5°C
Ja
6°C
Nein
7°C
Nein
8°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Official observations from Météo-France at the Le Bourget resolution station recorded a minimum of exactly 5°C on May 15, locking in the market’s 100% consensus for that outcome. A cool northerly flow combined with persistent cloud cover and light showers suppressed both daytime heating and nighttime radiational cooling, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average low of 9–10°C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS had clustered tightly around 5°C in the final 48 hours, reflecting the stable synoptic pattern. Only an unexpected clearing of skies or a sharp shift in wind direction overnight could have produced a lower reading, but neither materialized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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